Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex match prediction and analysis - VCT 2025: Pacific Stage 1

Gen.G Esports and Paper Rex, the teams that lost in the first round of VCT 2025: Pacific Stage 1 will face each other on March 30. The losing team will fall to the bottom of Group Alpha, and in this article, we’ll try to predict who that will be, based on team statistics and in-game performance.

Current Form of the Teams

Gen.G Esports

Gen.G started the season with a third-place finish at VCT 2025: Pacific Kickoff, which wasn’t enough to qualify for Masters Bangkok 2025, ending their three-tournament international streak. Out of their last five matches, they’ve only won two. Losses to T1 and DRX were expected, given those teams made the Kickoff final, but losing to BOOM Esports in their Pacific Stage 1 opener was a major surprise. Management responded by signing Ash and Suggest — both from the tier-2 scene — but so far, the core lineup remains unchanged.

Date & Time Team 1 Score Team 2 Tournament
Mar 24, 10:00 Gen.G Esports 0 - 2 BOOM Esports VCT 2025: Pacific Stage 1
Feb 08, 10:00 Gen.G Esports 2 - 3 T1 VCT 2025: Pacific Kickoff
Feb 07, 13:00 Gen.G Esports 2 - 0 TALON VCT 2025: Pacific Kickoff
Feb 02, 13:00 Gen.G Esports 2 - 0 DetonatioN FocusMe VCT 2025: Pacific Kickoff
Jan 31, 12:40 Gen.G Esports 0 - 2 DRX VCT 2025: Pacific Kickoff
Jan 25, 13:00 Gen.G Esports 2 - 1 Rex Regum Qeon VCT 2025: Pacific Kickoff

Paper Rex

Paper Rex had an underwhelming start to the season, finishing 5th–6th at the Pacific Kickoff — their worst regional result in three years. They’ve won just one of their last four matches, and that was against the inconsistent ZETA Division. After a long period of roster stability, the team signed PatMen, who may debut against Gen.G, although this hasn’t been officially confirmed.

Date & Time Team 1 Score Team 2 Tournament
Mar 23, 10:00 Paper Rex 1 - 2 DRX VCT 2025: Pacific Stage 1
Feb 01, 14:15 Paper Rex 0 - 2 DetonatioN FocusMe VCT 2025: Pacific Kickoff
Jan 26, 13:15 Paper Rex 2 - 0 ZETA DIVISION VCT 2025: Pacific Kickoff
Jan 20, 13:15 Paper Rex 1 - 2 T1 VCT 2025: Pacific Kickoff

Teams’ Map Pool

Expected map veto and pick process:

Ban 1:

  • Gen.G — Pearl
  • Paper Rex — Ascent

Pick 1:

  • Gen.G — Haven
  • Paper Rex — Icebox

Ban 2:

  • Gen.G — Fracture
  • Paper Rex — Lotus

Decider:

  • Split

Head-to-Head Matches

Their last meeting took place at the Valorant Radiant Asia Invitational just before the VCT 2025 season, where Gen.G defeated Paper Rex 2:1, proving they can edge out close series.

Match Prediction

Both teams stumbled at the start of Pacific Stage 1, but Gen.G appears to be the more cohesive unit despite their surprising loss to BOOM. Their deeper map pool offers them an advantage in this matchup.

Paper Rex, with a new sixth player and shaky early form, seem less prepared. Even if PatMen debuts, the pressure of an official match could pose extra challenges.

Prediction: Gen.G Esports will win 2:1.

VCT 2025: Pacific Stage 1 runs from March 22 to May 21 in a LAN format at the Sangam Colosseum in Seoul. Twelve partnered VCT Pacific teams are competing for three slots at Masters Toronto and valuable Pacific Points needed to qualify for Champions.

Group Alpha at VCT 2025: Pacific Stage 1 after first week
Group Alpha at VCT 2025: Pacific Stage 1 after first week
Comments
By date