On May 9, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, DRX will face Paper Rex in the VCT 2025: Pacific Stage 1 Playoffs. This best-of-3 lower bracket match is a critical encounter for both teams as they vie for survival in the tournament. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. You can follow the match here.
Current form of the teams
DRX boasts a solid overall win rate of 62%. Over the past six months, they have earned $35,000, placing them 13th in earnings among their peers. Their recent month win rate stands at 60%, reflecting their competitive edge in recent games. In their last five matches, DRX has secured three victories, most notably a 2-0 win against TALON in the lower bracket quarterfinals of the current tournament. However, they have also faced setbacks, such as a close 1-2 loss to Rex Regum Qeon in the upper bracket semifinals. DRX’s ability to bounce back from losses, as evidenced by their current winstreak of one, will be crucial in the upcoming match.
Paper Rex, on the other hand, is riding high on a four-match winstreak, showcasing their formidable form. Their overall win rate is an impressive 66%, with a perfect win rate of 100% in the recent month, indicating their dominance in recent fixtures. Despite earning $20,000 in the last half year, placing them 22nd, their performance on the field has been outstanding. Paper Rex’s recent victories include a convincing 2-0 triumph over BOOM Esports and a hard-fought 2-1 win against T1. Their recent form suggests they are in peak condition as they prepare to face DRX.
Head-to-Head
In their previous encounters, Paper Rex holds a slight edge over DRX with a head-to-head win rate of 73%. The last five matches between these teams have been closely contested, with Paper Rex winning three out of five. Their most recent meeting on March 23, 2025, saw DRX narrowly defeating Paper Rex 2-1, showcasing DRX’s capability to challenge their rivals. However, Paper Rex had previously secured victories in two consecutive meetings in late 2024, indicating their historical advantage. This head-to-head dynamic adds an intriguing layer to the upcoming match, as both teams are well-acquainted with each other’s strategies.
Prediction: DRX 2:1 Paper Rex
Based on the current form, historical data, and win probabilities, DRX is slightly favored to win with a 52% probability compared to Paper Rex 48%. The predicted scoreline of 2:1 suggests a closely contested series, with DRX likely edging out Paper Rex. DRX recent form and head-to-head advantage give them a slight upper hand, but Paper Rex’s resilience and ability to adapt cannot be underestimated. Expect a thrilling match with both teams showcasing their strategic prowess.
Prediction: DRX wins 2:1
Match odds:
VCT 2025: Pacific Stage 1 takes place from March 22 to May 11 in South Korea, featuring a prize pool of $100,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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