On May 10, 2025, at 10:00 CET, two teams — Rex Regum Qeon and Paper Rex — will face off in the lower bracket final of the VCT 2025: Pacific Stage 1 Playoffs. This best-of-three match is part of the tournament taking place in South Korea. We’ve analyzed the statistics and current form of both teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. You can follow the match here.
Current form of the teams
Rex Regum Qeon has significantly improved their form during the tournament, and securing a top-3 finish is already a major achievement — one that few predicted before the event began. Their overall win rate stands at 44%, with a slight increase to 48% over the past year. In the past month, their win rate has stabilized at 50%. In their last five matches, Rex Regum Qeon recorded losses to Gen.G Esports and Team Secret, while earning victories over DRX, T1, and ZETA Division. Reaching the top three is already a notable milestone for the team.
On the other hand, Paper Rex is riding a strong wave of success after setbacks at the Kickoff and in the group stage, now boasting a four-match winning streak. They hold an impressive overall win rate of 66%, with a flawless 100% win rate over the past month. In their last five matches, Paper Rex defeated BOOM Esports, T1, Global Esports, DetonatioN FocusMe and DRX, showcasing their dominance throughout the playoffs.
Head-to-Head
In previous encounters, Paper Rex has consistently outperformed Rex Regum Qeon, winning all three of their last meetings. The most recent match on November 25, 2024, saw Paper Rex secure a 2-1 victory. Earlier matches in July 2024 and May 2023 also ended in favor of Paper Rex with scores of 2-1 and 2-0, respectively. This historical performance gives Paper Rex a psychological edge and an overall 100% win rate against Rex Regum Qeon, demonstrating their ability to handle their opponents effectively.
Match Prediction
Based on current form and historical data, Paper Rex is expected to win this series with a predicted score of 3-1. Their recent results, ongoing win streak, and dominance in head-to-head matchups indicate a clear advantage. Rex Regum Qeon will need to overcome their recent inconsistency and capitalize on any strategic openings they can find to shift the momentum. However, the odds appear to favor Paper Rex, who are likely to continue their impressive run in the tournament.
Prediction: Rex Regum Qeon 1:3 Paper Rex
Odds are taken from Stake and are current at the time of publication.
VCT 2025: Pacific Stage 1 takes place from March 22 to May 11. During the event, teams compete for three slots at VCT 2025: Masters Toronto and Pacific Points, which are necessary for further qualification to VALORANT Champions. For more details on the match schedule and tournament results, click here.
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