EDward Gaming will face FunPlus Phoenix in a match as part of VCT 2025: China Stage 1. EDG has already qualified for the playoffs, while FPX aims to win their fifth game to avoid the brink of elimination. Let's assess the form of both teams and predict the winner of this match.

Current Team Form

EDG continues to demonstrate a high level of play both in the region and on the international stage. The team confidently secured 1st place at VCT 2025: China Kickoff, and later solidified their success by claiming 3rd place at VCT 2025: Masters Bangkok. In VCT 2025: China Stage 1, EDG stands at 3:1, winning 3 of their last 5 matches. The team maintains stability and ranks among the top contenders for victory in the playoffs.

FPX, on the other hand, has yet to find consistent form. They finished the China Kickoff in 5th–6th place and then showed similar results (5th–8th place) at the China Evolution Series: Act 1. In VCT 2025: China Stage 1, the team shows variable results — 2 wins and 2 losses, winning only 2 of their last 5 matches. Despite recent roster strengthening with a new player, the team has yet to show significant improvements.

Team Map Pool

Predicted map distribution:

• EDG Ban: Lotus — the team traditionally avoids this map (1:5), and since FPX doesn't perform well on it either, EDG will stick to their first ban.
• FPX Ban: Fracture — consistently banned despite a single victory. Against EDG, who are strong on Fracture (5:1), a ban is essential.
• EDG Pick: Icebox — 100% win rate (2:0), this map rarely appears in the pool, which could be a tactical surprise for FPX.
• FPX Pick: Pearl — the only map with positive stats (3:0), where they feel confident.
• EDG Ban: Split — an uncomfortable map (3:6), plus FPX doesn't excel either, but EDG prefers to eliminate the risk.
• FPX Ban: Ascent — despite weak stats (1:2), potential danger from EDG (5:6) could influence the ban.
• Decider: Haven — both teams play it frequently: EDG (6:1), FPX (3:4). It's a balanced choice for the deciding map.

Head-to-Head

EDG and FPX have met 5 times, with EDG leading 3:2, winning the last two encounters. This indicates EDG's current advantage in head-to-head matchups and better adaptation to FPX's style.

Match Prediction

Based on current form, roster stability, and recent head-to-head meetings, EDG is the favorite for the upcoming match. FPX faces adaptation challenges after roster changes, and against EDG's confident play, this may not be enough.

Prediction: EDG wins 2:1, with potential contention on Pearl, but a confident finish on Haven or Icebox.

VCT 2025: China Stage 1 runs from March 13 to May 4. During the event, teams compete for three slots at VCT 2025: Masters Toronto and China Points, which are necessary for further qualification to VALORANT Champions. Learn more about the match schedule and tournament results by following this link.