On June 20th, 2025, at 22:30 UTC, FaZe will face off against The MongolZ in the BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 Playoffs. This best-of-3 series promises to be a thrilling encounter between two top-tier teams. The tournament, which is currently taking place in the United States, offers a substantial prize pool of $1,250,000. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. You can follow the match here.
Current form of the teams
FaZe, currently ranked 10th in the world (source), has been in remarkable form, with a win streak of three matches. Over the last month, they have achieved a win rate of 60%, and their performance over the past six months has been consistent with a 55% win rate. FaZe has earned $231,000 in the past six months, ranking 9th in earnings compared to other teams. In their recent matches, FaZe has shown prowess by defeating top teams like MOUZ and Legacy, while their only recent loss was against Aurora. In the ongoing BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025, FaZe secured a 6-8th place finish in the earlier stage and have continued to perform well in the playoffs.
With s1mple joining FaZe, they gained firepower and confidence, advancing through the group stage with a 3-1 record, losing the opening Bo1 against Aurora and then defeating MOUZ. This Major will be the first in three years for s1mple to return to the arena, with the last being the IEM Rio Major 2022. Against this backdrop, FaZe could once again defeat The Mongolz and advance further.
The MongolZ, ranked 5th globally (source), have also been impressive with a recent win streak of one match. They boast a 64% win rate overall, with a slight dip to 56% in the last month. The MongolZ have earned $274,375 over the past six months, placing them 6th in earnings. In their recent matches, they claimed victories against formidable opponents like G2 and Lynn Vision, while suffering a loss to FaZe in their most recent encounter. The MongolZ have shown resilience and adaptability in the BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025, advancing through the stages with commendable performances.
The Mongolz have now gone through the group stage with a score of 3-1 or 3-2 for three tournaments in a row, only to lose their opening match in the quarterfinals against teams they have lost to in one way or another, showing that they are somehow lacking against them. They have already played FaZe in the group stage and lost to them. Will the Major be the fourth tournament in a row where The Mongolz are eliminated in the quarterfinals? We'll see.
Teams’ Map Pool
In the upcoming match, the map veto is expected to unfold with FaZe first banning Mirage, followed by The MongolZ banning Train. FaZe is likely to pick Anubis, while The MongolZ might choose Ancient. The bans will continue with FaZe removing Dust2 and The MongolZ taking out Nuke, leaving Inferno as the decider map. Historically, FaZe has shown strong performances on Anubis with a 60% win rate, while The MongolZ has been effective on Ancient with a 63% win rate.
| Map | FaZe WR | M | B | Last 5 Matches (FaZe) | The MongolZ WR | M | B | Last 5 Matches (The MongolZ) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Train | 50% | 2 | 28 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 0% | 0 | 35 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Mirage | 33% | 9 | 12 | W, L, L, FB, FB | 65% | 23 | 1 | W, L, W, L, W |
| Anubis | 60% | 15 | 4 | W, W, L, W, W | 38% | 13 | 9 | L, W, FB, FB, L |
| Inferno | 45% | 11 | 14 | W, L, FB, L, FB | 63% | 16 | 1 | W, W, L, L, L |
| Dust II | 50% | 18 | 7 | W, L, L, W, L | 62% | 13 | 13 | L, W, W, W, W |
| Nuke | 57% | 14 | 10 | L, W, FB, L, FB | 45% | 11 | 16 | L, L, W, L, W |
| Ancient | 65% | 20 | 4 | L, W, W, W, W | 63% | 19 | 0 | W, W, W, L, W |
Head-to-Head
In their recent encounters, FaZe and The MongolZ have each claimed a victory over the other. FaZe won their latest match on June 14th, 2025, with a 2-0 scoreline, showcasing their ability to adapt and overcome The MongolZ’s strategies. Previously, on April 22nd, 2025, The MongolZ defeated FaZe with a 2-0 result, indicating their potential to challenge FaZe effectively. The map choices in these matches have varied, with both teams displaying flexibility in their strategies.
Match Prediction
Considering the current form, map pool, and head-to-head results, FaZe is favored to win with a predicted score of 2:1. FaZe’s recent victories, including their most recent win against The MongolZ, give them a psychological edge. Their strong performance on Anubis and the overall win probability of 61% further support this prediction. However, The MongolZ’s strength on Ancient and their capability to surprise top-tier teams should not be underestimated, making this an exciting contest.
Prediction: FaZe 2:1 The MongolZ
BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 takes place from June 12th to June 22nd in the United States, featuring a prize pool of $1,250,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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