The upcoming clash between Team Liquid and Fnatic will take place on May 10, 2025, at 20:00 CET. This match is part of the playoff stage of VCT 2025: EMEA Stage 1 — one of the three franchised tournaments in the EMEA region, held in the capital of Germany. Fans can expect an intense showdown, as both teams are competing not only for a spot in the upper bracket final but also for a place at Masters Toronto 2025. We’ve analyzed the teams’ statistics and current form to make a prediction for the match outcome. Match details can be found here.
Current form of the teams
Team Liquid enters the playoffs on a four-match winning streak. Their recent performance at VCT 2025: EMEA Stage 1 has been impressive, with victories over teams like Karmine Corp, KOI, FUT Esports, and BBL Esports. Their overall win rate stands at 53%, with a strong 65% over the past six months, and a perfect 100% win rate in the last month. Over the past six months, Team Liquid has earned $18,750, placing them 25th among all teams. Despite an earlier loss to Gentle Mates, their form has been steadily improving, making them a formidable opponent in the playoffs — which is why Stake gives this match equal odds.
On the other hand, Fnatic is steadily returning to their prime form, finishing the group stage with a 4:1 record and recently defeating FUT Esports in the upper bracket quarterfinals. Their overall win rate stands at 75%, with a 68% win rate over the past year and 75% over the past month. Fnatic’s recent matches include victories over GIANTX, Apeks, Team Vitality, NAVI, and FUT Esports. Although they suffered a setback against Team Heretics, they put up a strong fight against one of Europe’s top teams.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Fnatic holds the advantage over Team Liquid, having won four of their last five encounters. The most recent victory came on July 10, 2024, with a 2:0 scoreline. However, all of these matches took place when both teams had significantly different rosters — including when Derke was still playing for Fnatic. With their updated lineups, the two teams have yet to face each other.
Match Prediction
Considering current form and historical data, Fnatic appears to have the upper hand — both statistically and in terms of overall gameplay impression. However, this match still leans close to a 50/50 and promises to be one of the most thrilling of the tournament, as two evenly matched teams battle for one of the three slots at Masters Toronto 2025. For Fnatic, it’s a chance to return to the international stage, while for Team Liquid, it’s an opportunity to solidify the level of play they’ve shown at the start of the season. Our prediction: a 2:1 victory for Fnatic — but in a match like this, anything can happen.
Prediction: Team Liquid 1:2 Fnatic
Odds are taken from Stake and are current at the time of publication.
VCT 2025: EMEA Stage 1 takes place from March 26 to May 18 in LAN-format at Riot Games Arena in Berlin. Twelve VCT EMEA partner teams will compete for 3 invitations to Masters Toronto, as well as EMEA Points, which are required to qualify for future World Championships.
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