On July 2, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, Team Liquid will face off against Aurora Gaming in the FISSURE Universe: Episode 5 Group B stage. This match is set to be a best-of-2 series, and we have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. You can follow the match here.

Current form of the teams

Team Liquid

Team Liquid has been showcasing a mixed form recently. They are currently ranked 3rd in earnings over the last six months, having amassed $925,000, reflecting their high competitive level. In terms of win rates, Team Liquid has a 49% overall win rate, with a slight increase to 52% over the past year. However, their performance has dipped to 47% in the recent half year but improved significantly in the last month to 63%. Their recent performances in tournaments, such as the PGL Wallachia Season 5, saw them finishing in 3rd place, earning $120,000. In their last five matches, Team Liquid managed two wins against BetBoom Team and Aurora Gaming but suffered losses against Gaimin Gladiators and BetBoom Team.

Aurora Gaming

Aurora Gaming has also been in fluctuating form but remains competitive. They have earned $265,000 in the past six months, placing them 10th in earnings. Aurora Gaming’s overall win rate stands at 45%, with an improvement seen in the recent half-year at 52%. Their recent month has been particularly strong, with a 70% win rate. Aurora’s recent tournament run at the PGL Wallachia Season 5 ended in the 7-8th position, earning them $40,000. In their last five matches, they secured victories against Tundra Esports and Xtreme Gaming but faced defeats from Team Spirit and Gaimin Gladiators.

Most Frequent Picks

At the pro level, drafting plays a huge role in deciding how a Dota match plays out. Hero picks usually follow the current meta, which influences the game’s tempo and how teams handle teamfights, map pressure, and their overall game plan.

Team Liquid

Aurora Gaming

Most Frequent Bans

Bans matter just as much. Teams often target the enemy’s most consistent and dangerous heroes — especially comfort picks. Lately, there’s been a clear shift toward banning top-meta heroes early in the draft, since taking them out right away can swing the match before it even starts.

Team Liquid

Aurora Gaming

Head-to-Head

The recent head-to-head encounters between Team Liquid and Aurora Gaming have been competitive. In their last five meetings, Team Liquid has emerged victorious three times, while Aurora Gaming has won twice. The most recent match saw Team Liquid winning 2-1 against Aurora Gaming on June 26, 2025. Historically, both teams have shown a balanced win rate against each other, with each holding a 40% win rate in head-to-head statistics. This suggests a closely contested rivalry with no clear dominant side.

Match Prediciton

Based on the current form, win rates, and head-to-head history, Team Liquid seems poised to secure a victory against Aurora Gaming. The prediction leans towards a 2:0 win for Team Liquid, supported by their recent improvement in win rate and performance in high-stakes matches. Aurora Gaming, while competitive, has shown inconsistencies that Team Liquid could exploit. With a 56% win probability for Team Liquid compared to Aurora’s 44%, Team Liquid is likely to come out on top in this matchup.

Prediction: Team Liquid 2:0 Aurora Gaming

Odds for the match are provided by Stake and are current at the time of publication.      

The FISSURE Universe: Episode 5 takes place from May 12 to July 4, 2025, featuring a prize pool of $250,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.