On May 3, 2025, at 21:00 UTC, MIBR will face G2 Esports in a best-of-5 series as part of the lower bracket final of VCT 2025: Americas Stage 1. This match promises to be thrilling, as both teams are competing for a spot at the Esports World Cup 2025. We’ve analyzed the statistics and current form of the teams to make a prediction on the match outcome. You can view the match details here.

Current form of the teams

MIBR has been showing strong performances recently, despite their recent loss to Sentinels. They currently boast a solid 83% win rate over the past month, indicating significant improvement compared to their overall win rate of 47%. In the last six months, MIBR has earned $3,000, placing them 100th in the earnings rankings. Their recent matches have been mixed — with notable victories over KRÜ Esports and 100 Thieves, but a defeat to Sentinels in their most recent match has landed them in the lower bracket final.

G2 Esports, on the other hand, are riding a two-match winning streak, showcasing their formidable form. They boast a recent monthly win rate of 83%, mirroring MIBR’s performance, but their overall win rate is significantly higher at 63%. G2 Esports have been among the top-performing teams over the past six months, earning $110,000 — placing them third in the earnings rankings. Their recent victories over Evil Geniuses and 100 Thieves highlight their current strength, although they did suffer a recent loss to Sentinels, ending their head-to-head win streak of four consecutive victories. Despite being in the lower bracket final, the team remains a top contender to win the tournament.

Head-to-Head

In their previous encounters, G2 Esports has had the upper hand against MIBR, winning three of their last four matchups. Their most recent meeting on March 29, 2025, saw G2 Esports triumph with a 2-1 scoreline. Historically, G2 Esports holds a 75% win rate against MIBR, demonstrating a consistent advantage in their head-to-head battles.

Match Prediction

Considering the current form and historical performance, G2 Esports is slightly favored to win this match with a predicted score of 3-1. Their recent form and head-to-head dominance over MIBR give them a slight edge. Despite MIBR’s impressive recent performances, G2 Esports’ consistency and higher win rates across different periods make them the likely victors in this series.

Match Prediction: MIBR 1:3 G2 Esports

Match odds:

MIBR (2.70) vs. G2 Esports (1.42) — May 3, 2025, 10:40 CEST.

Odds are taken from Stake.com and are current at the time of publication.

VCT 2025: Americas Stage 1 runs from March 21 to May 4. During the event, 12 teams will compete for three slots at VCT 2025: Masters Toronto and Americas Points, which are necessary for further qualification to VALORANT Champions. More details on results and the schedule of upcoming matches can be found at this link.