On May 3, 2025, G2 Esports will face off against Evil Geniuses in the VCT 2025: Americas Stage 1 Playoffs in a best-of-3 series. This lower bracket match is crucial for both teams as they fight for the last ticket to Masters Bangkok 2025. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. For more details, visit the match page.  

Current form of the teams

G2 Esports comes into this match with a strong performance history. They currently hold a third-place position in the recent half-year earnings ranking, having amassed $110,000. Their recent form is impressive, with a win rate of 80% over the last month and a winstreak of five matches before the defeat against the Sentinels. In their last five encounters, G2 Esports secured victories against teams like 100 Thieves, Cloud9, Leviatán, and NRG, but suffered a loss to Sentinels. This performance reflects their overall win rate of 62% and a recent half-year win rate of 73%.

On the other hand, Evil Geniuses have shown resilience with a current winstreak of four matches. Their recent month win rate matches G2’s at 80%, though their overall win rate stands at 55%. Despite a lower recent half-year earnings of $2,500, placing them at 111th, they have demonstrated improvement, having defeated KRÜ Esports, Cloud9, and LOUD in their recent matches. Their last defeat was against Sentinels. "Reaching the playoffs is already a good result for the team. Now they're not only in the playoffs, but also competing with G2 Esports for the last spot at Masters Bangkok 2025. Although their chances are slim, this is Valorant — a game where anyone can beat anyone.

Head-to-Head

The head-to-head history between G2 Esports and Evil Geniuses shows a balanced rivalry, with each team having secured one victory in their last two encounters. G2 Esports claimed victory in their most recent match on April 7, 2024, with a 2-0 scoreline, while Evil Geniuses emerged victorious earlier on February 24, 2024, with a 2-0 result.

Match Prediction

Analyzing the current form, win rates, and head-to-head history, G2 Esports appears to have a slight edge over Evil Geniuses. With a higher win probability of 55% compared to Evil Geniuses’ 45%, and considering G2’s recent performance and earnings, they are likely to secure a win in this best-of-3 series. The prediction leans towards a 2-0 victory for G2 Esports, given their strong track record and consistent form in recent matches.

Prediction: G2 Esports 2:0 Evil Geniuses

Match odds:

G2 Esports (1.20) vs. Evil Geniuses (4.00) — May 1, 2025, 19:50 CEST.

Odds are taken from Stake.com and are current at the time of publication.

VCT 2025: Americas Stage 1 runs from March 21 to May 4. During the event, 12 teams will compete for three slots at VCT 2025: Masters Toronto and Americas Points, which are necessary for further qualification to VALORANT Champions. More details on results and the schedule of upcoming matches can be found at this link.