On July 17, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, FunPlus Phoenix will face off against Nova Esports in a best-of-3 series as part of the VCT 2025: China Stage 2. This match is crucial as both teams aim to advance in the tournament. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. You can follow the match here.

Current form of the teams

FunPlus Phoenix has been showing a mixed form recently. They have a current win streak of one game, having recently defeated Wolves Esports 2-0 in the ongoing VCT 2025: China Stage 2. However, their journey in the VALORANT China Evolution Series Act 2 ended at the quarterfinals, where they lost to EDward Gaming. Over the last five matches, FunPlus Phoenix has secured two wins and suffered three losses, indicating a somewhat unstable performance. Their overall win rate stands at 49%, but they have improved significantly in the last month with a perfect win rate of 100%. However, their win rate over the past half-year is only 36%, highlighting some inconsistency.

Nova Esports, on the other hand, is currently on a losing streak, having lost their last match against Dragon Ranger Gaming 2-1. Their performance in the VALORANT China Evolution Series Act 2 was also underwhelming, as they were eliminated in the quarterfinals by Trace Esports. Nova Esports has managed only one win in their last five matches, indicating a challenging phase. Their overall win rate is 49%, with a recent year win rate of 58% and a half-year win rate of 53%. However, they have struggled in the last month, failing to secure any victories.

Head-to-Head

In their last five encounters, Nova Esports has had the upper hand, winning three matches against FunPlus Phoenix. Their most recent victory was a 2-0 sweep on March 30, 2025. Historically, FunPlus Phoenix has managed to secure two wins in this matchup, indicating a competitive rivalry. The head-to-head win rate stands at 60% in favor of FunPlus Phoenix, suggesting they have had the edge in past meetings.

Prediction

Considering the current form and historical data, FunPlus Phoenix is likely to edge out Nova Esports with a predicted score of 2-1. FunPlus Phoenix’s recent uptick in performance, especially their perfect win rate over the last month, gives them a slight advantage. Meanwhile, Nova Esports’ recent struggles and losing streak could hinder their chances.

Match Prediction: FunPlus Phoenix 2:1 Nova Esports

VCT 2025: China Stage 2 takes place from July 3 to August 31 in China, featuring a prize pool that promises to attract top-tier competition. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.