On September 21, 2025, at 15:00 CEST, DRX will face Team Liquid in the decisive Group C match at VALORANT Champions 2025. The best-of-three series carries huge stakes, as it will determine which team advances to the playoffs and which one exits the event. We analyzed the statistics and current form of both teams to provide a prediction for this matchup. You can follow the match live here.

Current form of the teams

DRX has been experiencing a mixed form recently. Ranked 12th globally, DRX has shown a win rate of 61% overall, with a slight increase to 63% over the past six months. However, their performance in the last month has been average, with a 50% win rate. In recent tournaments, DRX secured a 5-6th place finish in the VCT 2025: Pacific Stage 2, earning $10,000. In their last five matches, DRX has won two and lost three. Notably, they defeated Team Liquid 2-0 in their opening match of the VALORANT Champions 2025, but suffered a 1-2 loss to NRG in their most recent game. DRX’s recent earnings over the past six months amount to $145,000, ranking them 6th compared to other teams.

Team Liquid, on the other hand, are showing a more positive trend. The team currently holds 7th place in the world rankings and can boast an impressive win rate — 80% over the past month and 64% over the last six months. Recently, Team Liquid claimed the title at VCT 2025: EMEA Stage 2, earning $100,000 and securing their spot at VALORANT Champions 2025. In their last five matches, they recorded four victories, including a recent 2:1 win over EDward Gaming. Despite their earlier loss to DRX at the start of the tournament, Team Liquid’s form remains strong. Their total earnings over the past six months amount to $125,000, placing them 10th in the prize money rankings.

Map Pool

Considering the teams’ recent matches, we are unlikely to see Haven and Sunset in this series. In that case, DRX will likely pick Abyss once again, the map on which they secured victory in their previous matchup, while Team Liquid are expected to choose Lotus, where they hold a 70% win rate across 10 games compared to DRX’s 42%. The decider is likely to be Corrode, Ascent, or Bind — all of which favor Team Liquid, as they have shown stronger win rates than DRX on these maps over the past six months.

Head-to-Head

In their recent head-to-head matchup, DRX emerged victorious with a 2-0 win over Team Liquid on September 13, 2025. 

Match Prediction

Based on current form and statistical analysis, Team Liquid are the favorites in this matchup. The prediction leans toward a 2:1 victory for Team Liquid, considering their stronger recent performances, deeper map pool, and better results on the international stage. Although DRX have previously beaten Team Liquid, the EMEA roster is expected to learn from past mistakes and deliver a solid revenge performance that will secure their win.

Prediction: DRX 1:2 Team Liquid

VALORANT Champions 2025 is taking place from September 12 to October 5 in France. Sixteen teams are competing for a prize pool of $2,250,000 and the season’s main trophy. More information about results and the schedule of upcoming matches can be found via this link.