- leencek
Predictions
15:01, 20.09.2025

On September 21 at 16:00 (UTC), GIANTX will face XLG Esports in a best-of-three match that will be decisive in Group A of the VALORANT Champions 2025 tournament. The tournament is taking place in France and showcases elite teams under high tension. We analyzed the teams' statistics and current form to predict the match outcome. For more detailed information, visit the match page.
Current Form of the Teams
GIANTX has been showing mixed results recently, with an overall win rate of 47%. However, in the past month, they have improved their performance, reaching a 63% win rate. Despite a recent loss to Paper Rex match link, they managed to secure a victory against Sentinels in their first match of VALORANT Champions 2025 match link. Their performance in VCT 2025: EMEA Stage 2 was commendable, where they placed second, earning $65,000 and qualifying for the current tournament. GIANTX currently does not have a winning streak, and their recent matches have been a mix of wins and losses. They rank 13th in earnings over the past six months.
On the other hand, XLG Esports has a higher overall win rate of 61%, although it has dropped to 25% in the past month. They recently bounced back with a win over Sentinels match link after a loss to the top-ranked team Paper Rex match link. XLG Esports placed 9th-12th in the VALORANT China Evolution Series Act 3 and 4th in VCT 2025: China Stage 2, showcasing their competitiveness. They are currently on a one-match winning streak and have earned $50,000 over the past six months, placing them 15th in the earnings ranking.
Map Pool
Considering the matches over the past six months, GIANTX is likely to remove Corrode or Lotus, which are the most comfortable maps for XLG Esports, while the European team will get rid of Bind. This leaves XLG with a limited pool where they might feel more confident, particularly Sunset, whereas Ascent and Haven clearly favor the opponent, and a potential choice of Abyss would be more of an experiment and an unpredictable factor in the series.
Historical Maps winrate Last 6 months
Icebox
50%
Corrode
50%
Split
33%
Ascent
27%
Sunset
17%
Haven
13%
Bind
10%
Lotus
4%
Fracture
0%
Pearl
0%
Abyss
0%
Last 5 maps
Icebox
50%
2
Corrode
50%
4
Split
33%
3
Ascent
60%
10
Sunset
67%
9
Haven
50%
10
Bind
40%
5
Lotus
40%
10
Fracture
100%
1
Pearl
0%
2
Abyss
0%
0
Last 5 maps
Icebox
0%
1
Corrode
0%
0
Split
0%
0
Ascent
33%
3
Sunset
50%
6
Haven
63%
8
Bind
50%
2
Lotus
44%
9
Fracture
100%
1
Pearl
0%
1
Abyss
0%
1
Prediction
Based on the analysis of both teams' form and recent performances, GIANTX appears to be the stronger team. With a higher probability of winning at 76% compared to XLG Esports' 24%, and considering their more successful results in recent months, GIANTX is likely to win 2:0. Their ability to perform under pressure, as seen in their recent matches, gives them a competitive edge in this decisive match.
Prediction: GIANTX 2:0 XLG Esports
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VALORANT Champions 2025 is being held from September 12 to October 5 in France, with a prize pool of $2,250,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament through the official tournament page.
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