Valorant is a popular first-person tactical shooter created by Riot Games, quickly becoming one of the leading esports disciplines. Watching professional matches can become even more engaging with betting, which requires a deep understanding of statistics and analysis. In this article, we’ll explore how to leverage team stats to your advantage to develop effective Valorant betting strategies.

In this article:

• Key Valorant metrics for successful betting
• Player impact metrics
• Performance on specific maps
• Analysis of team compositions and playstyles
• Gameplay style and strategic nuances
• Using historical data and match records
• Recent form and performance trends
• Real-time stats for betting
• Tracking form and adjustments

Key Valorant Metrics for Successful Betting

Identifying and studying essential team metrics in Valorant is key to successful betting. This list includes:

• Average ACS (Average Combat Score) of all players – a combat rating that shows the overall effectiveness of team players in the game, based on kills, damage dealt, assists, and multi-kills.
• Total kills – indicates how much a team dominates its opponent.
• Rounds won – a measure that helps assess a team's resilience and ability to achieve set goals.
• First kills – shows how often a team starts a round with a man advantage, gaining a significant edge over the opponent.

Below is a table comparing the main metrics of NRG and BBL Esports over the last fifteen matches, highlighting which team is stronger on paper.

In four out of six metrics, NRG comes out on top, especially in ACS, which stands at an impressive 195, one of the main indicators. The team falls short in defense but dominates significantly in offense; such stats can be helpful for live betting. Comparing key metrics is a pathway to success to know how to bet on Valorant.

Player Impact Metrics

While a team is a cohesive unit, sometimes a single player can change the outcome of a match. Therefore, key player metrics should also be considered when making decisions.

• ACS – based on kills, damage dealt, assists, and multi-kills, it perfectly demonstrates a player's impact.
• K/D – the kill-to-death ratio shows how often a player wins duels.
• Assists – the number of assists in kills through abilities or dealing damage to the enemy.
• ADR – the amount of damage a player deals per round on average; one of the key metrics showing the player's contribution to victory.

NRG’s player s0m boasts a high ACS of 203 and averages 0.76 kills per round while dying only with a probability of 0.63 per round. This reflects his significant impact on the match's progress. When making a final betting decision, consider player metrics, especially star players who can influence the game’s result.

Performance on Specific Maps

The map on which the match takes place also plays a significant role. For example, Team Heretics, one of the best teams in Valorant for betting, consistently participates in top-tier tournaments and achieves incredible results on the map Sunset, with a 78% win rate, while only achieving 17% on Fracture over six matches.

When choosing a team and risking your funds, pay attention to the map on which the teams will compete. This information can help with the final choice, leading to success. Besides the win rate, consider player performance on a specific map, particularly ACS, ADR, K/D, and the agents they typically choose. There might be a character on this map that a player finds uncomfortable to play.

Analysis of Team Compositions and Playstyles

The team composition and agent selection are critically important when deciding to bet on a specific team. When researching teams, pay attention to the following criteria:

• Players and their recent performance
• Agents they will be playing
• Roles they fulfill (duelist or controller), as this affects their performance. It's more challenging to achieve high results on a defensive agent than on an aggressive one, like a duelist.

Analyze the team’s selection to identify their strengths and weaknesses. For instance, if a team has an aggressive lineup with two duelists and an initiator, they will be much stronger on offense than a team with only one duelist and an initiator. If the first team fails on the attacking side, it may be extremely challenging for them to make a comeback in defense when the score is 8:4 or 9:3.

Playstyle and Strategic Nuances

Apart from the composition and agent choices, it’s essential to consider the team’s playstyle when betting on Valorant matches. The game has different approaches to gameplay, such as:

• Aggressive style – a strategy of quickly pressuring the opponent with two duelists and an initiator.
• Defensive style – favoring the defensive side; choosing two controllers and a sentinel makes the team very strong on defense.
• Balanced style – agent choice depends on the map: if defense is a weakness, controlling agents are selected, while for offense, duelists and an initiator are chosen.

Considering the team’s style, you can predict how they might perform during the match. For example, a team with an aggressive style will dominate on maps like Bind, where offense is a strong suit, while teams with a defensive style will perform better on Split, thanks to its narrow paths and complex structure for attackers.

Using Historical Data and Match Records

Head-to-Head History

Analyzing previous encounters between teams can provide valuable insights into the possible match outcome. When reviewing statistics from past games between teams like 100 Thieves and Leviatan, note the following:

• The total number of matches, wins, and losses for each team.
• Match dates, as if the games were played long ago, the results may be outdated due to potential changes in team compositions or strategies.
• Player statistics in these matches. Sometimes, teams win because one player was in exceptional form.

As of November 2024, 100 Thieves won two out of four matches against Leviatan, with nearly all matches ending 2:1, except one at 2:0. However, both teams have since changed their lineups, so in this case, it’s worth considering other factors.

Recent Form and Performance Trends

A team’s form before a match is one of the key indicators. A team on a winning streak feels confident and may overcome a stronger opponent. Conversely, even a minor losing streak can put pressure on favorites, causing them to make mistakes.

Key indicators to consider include:

• Teams against which they won or lost.
• The team’s winning and losing streaks.
• Improvement or decline in the form of key players.

Using Real-Time Stats for Betting

In-Game Performance Comparison

Betting during a match can be more engaging and effective than pre-match betting, as you can evaluate the team’s performance, view live stats, and make more informed conclusions. Consider the following metrics:

• Number of rounds lost and won.
• Statistics of these rounds: how many players survived or died.
• Number of clutches won.
• The side on which the team of interest is playing.

These metrics can be leveraged to make the right bet in live mode. For example, if a team has lost 5-6 rounds in a row, they might feel pressured and potentially mentally exhausted, leading to a loss. Or, if a team lost 7 rounds in the first half but left only one or two enemies alive in each round, it might indicate that they will start dominating after gaining an advantage on the stronger side.

Tracking Form and Adjustments

Decisions about live betting can be adjusted based on the team’s changing form. Updated stats during the match may indicate an improvement or decline in play, leading to a well-informed decision with proper analysis.

Key metrics to track during live betting:

• Changes in individual player performance, especially key players who lead the team (often duelists).
• Team statistics by rounds (number of rounds won/lost).
• Shifts in gameplay approach (increased aggressiveness in situations where it wasn’t previously observed).

Analyzing statistical data during the game can help identify when a team is shifting strategy or showing better coordination, allowing you to take advantage of live betting opportunities Valorant.