Vitality and Falcons meet at the top of the group stage of IEM Melbourne 2025, and the winner of this match goes directly to the semifinals of the playoffs. Both teams have already secured a place in the playoffs, but are now playing for a more favorable position. This match promises to be a stubborn one, and given the deep lineups and the teams' form, it is possible that we will see all three cards. Over the past six months, the rivals have not met each other.
Current form of the teams
Vitality is having a brilliant tournament and seems to be returning to its championship level. After a confident 2:0 victory over Liquid and FlyQuest, the yellow and black team looks solid. They have another chance to prove that their first position in the world rankings is not accidental.
Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
Apr 22 | Vitality | 2 - 0 | Liquid |
Apr 21 | Vitality | 2 - 0 | FlyQuest |
Mar 30 | Vitality | 3 - 2 | MOUZ |
Mar 29 | Vitality | 2 - 1 | Spirit |
Mar 24 | Vitality | 2 - 0 | MOUZ |
TheFalcons, on the other hand, are in their best period since the formation of the team. With victories over NAVI, SAW, FaZe, and G2, they have proven that they are capable of playing on a par with any opponent. Their synergy and individual player form allows them to impose the pace even on the giants of the scene.
Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
Apr 22 | Falcons | 2 - 1 | NAVI |
Apr 21 | Falcons | 2 - 0 | SAW |
Apr 13 | Falcons | 3 - 0 | G2 |
Apr 12 | Falcons | 2 - 1 | FaZe |
Apr 11 | Falcons | 0 - 2 | GamerLegion |
Mappool
Vitality has one of the deepest mappings in the tournament. Their stats on Inferno (12-0), Train (4-0), Nuke (13-2), and Dust2 (14-2) show a perfect balance of aggression and discipline. Even maps such as Mirage (16-5) and Anubis (13-10), where the WR is not so high, remain comfortable for the team.
Falcons also have a wide mappool, though less clear-cut. Their strongest maps are Mirage (14-5, WR 64%), Dust2 (19-5, WR 58%), and Nuke (13-5, WR 54%). However, with Inferno (14-16, WR 36%) and Train (10-4, WR 40%), they will have a hard time withstanding Vitality.
Map | Vitality WR | M | B | Last 5 Maps (Vitality) | Falcons WR | M | B | Last 5 Maps (Falcons) |
Inferno | 100% | 12 | 5 | W W W W W | 36% | 14 | 16 | L L W L W |
Train | 100% | 4 | 2 | W W W W | 40% | 10 | 4 | L L W W L |
Ancient | 0% | 0 | 29 | - | 53% | 17 | 8 | L W W L W |
Nuke | 85% | 13 | 1 | L W L W W | 54% | 13 | 4 | L W W W |
Dust2 | 86% | 14 | 3 | W W W W L | 58% | 19 | 5 | W L L W W |
Mirage | 69% | 16 | 5 | W W W W L | 64% | 14 | 5 | W L L W W |
Anubis | 54% | 13 | 10 | W W W W W | 50% | 2 | 23 | - |
Prediction
This will be an extremely competitive match, and the probability of three maps is extremely high. Vitality looks stronger both in terms of results and mapping. They have the depth, experience, and inertia to close out even tough maps. Falcons continue to surprise and beat the top teams, but against such a systematic opponent as Vitality, they will have less chance to improvise.
Forecast: Vitality will win 2-1.
IEM Melbourne 2025 takes place from April 21 to 27. The entire tournament is held in Melbourne, Australia, at Rod Laver Arena. Participants compete for a prize pool of $300,000. You can follow the results and progress of the tournament via this link.
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