paiN vs Complexity Match Prediction and Analysis - IEM Melbourne 2025
paiN vs Complexity Match Prediction and Analysis - IEM Melbourne 2025

The American team Complexity and the Brazilian team paiN will meet in the elimination match at IEM Melbourne 2025. Both teams have already lost the right to make a mistake, so the winner will get a chance to continue the fight, and the loser will say goodbye to the tournament. This will be their first face-to-face confrontation in the last six months. The format is Bo3, so there is a high probability of seeing three maps.

Current form of the teams

paiN lost four of the last five series, winning only in Aurora (2:1). At IEM Melbourne, they lost to FaZe (0:2), Falcons (1:2), and Aurora (1:2), and before that, they lost to Eternal Fire at EPL. The team is losing stability and is in a disadvantageous shape.

Date 
Match 
Score
Opponent
Apr 21 
paiN 
0:2
FaZe
Apr 08
paiN 
1:2
Falcons
Apr 07
paiN 
0:2
FaZe
Apr 06
paiN 
1:2
Aurora
Mar 10
paiN 
0:2
Eternal Fire

Complexity, on the other hand, has won 3 of their last 5 matches. At the BLAST.tv Austin Major, they looked strong, defeating BLUEJAYS (2:0) and Getting Info (2:0), but lost to FaZe (0:2) and G2 (0:2). At IEM, they lost to The MongolZ (1-2), but had a good game.

Date 
Match 
Score
Opponent
Apr 21
Complexity
1:2
MongolZ 
Apr 16
Complexity
2:0
BLUEJAYS 
Apr 15
Complexity
2:0
Getting Info
Apr 13
Complexity
0:2 
FaZe 
Apr 12
Complexity
0:2 
G2 

Mappool.

paiN are traditionally strong on Nuke (65% WR), which can be a joker in this series. They also look good on Mirage (56%) and Anubis (40%). They have a low win percentage on Inferno, and they played Ancient only once, but won.

Complexity has an advantage on most maps. They show 82% WR on Train, 80% on Nuke, and 75% on Anubis. Dust II remains the weak link (20%), but overall, the mappool looks more stable than paiN's.

Map 
paiN WR
M
B
Last 5 Matches (paiN)
Complexity WR
M
B
Last 5 Matches (COL)
Train
 0% 
4
14
L, L, L, L
82%
11
0
W, W, W, W, W
Mirage 
56%
18
6
L, L, W, W, L
0%
0
23
-
Ancient 
100%
1
31
-
53%
15
6
W, W, L, W, W
Anubis 
40%
5
13
L, L, W
75%
20
0
W, L, L, W
Dust II
44%
18
4
W, L, W, L, L 
20%
10
10
L, L, W, L, L
Inferno 
22%
18
7
L, L, W, L, L
38%
8
7
L, L, W, W, L
Nuke 
65%
17
4
L, W, L, L, W
80%
9
3
W, W, W, W

Prediction

paiN looks unstable, having lost 4 of the last 5 series and having only one strong map (Nuke), which is unlikely to stay in the game. Complexity, on the other hand, has a wider and stronger map pool, good form, and a serious boost after the BLAST.tv qualifier. Even if paiN wins one map, Complexity remains the favorite at the distance of three maps.

Prediction: Complexity will win 2:1

IEM Melbourne 2025 takes place from April 21 to 27. The entire tournament is held in Melbourne, Australia, at the Rod Laver Arena. Participants are competing for a prize pool of $300,000. You can follow the results and progress of the tournament at this link.

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