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Predictions
12:16, 21.04.2025

FaZe and The MongolZ will meet in the top draw of the group stage of IEM Melbourne 2025. The match will be held in the Bo3 format, and the winner will get a ticket to the playoffs, while the loser will continue to fight in the lower bracket. These teams haven 't played each other in the last six months, so this meeting will be a new challenge for both. Given the current form, tournament experience and mapping, it is quite possible that we will have a full three-way race.
Current form of the teams
FaZe are coming into this match in great shape. The team has won four of their last five series, defeating Complexity, paiN, Apogee, and 3DMAX, with the only loss coming in a tense match against Falcons. The roster looks confident after an unstable start to the season, with a third place at PGL Bucharest 2025 and a dry win in Melbourne confirming FaZe's return to form.
Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
Apr 21 | FaZe | 2 - 0 | paiN |
Apr 13 | FaZe | 2 - 0 | Complexity |
Apr 12 | FaZe | 1 - 2 | Falcons |
Apr 11 | FaZe | 2 - 0 | 3DMAX |
Apr 10 | FaZe | 2 - 0 | Apogee |
The MongolZ also look solid: the team confidently dealt with FURIA, Liquid and Complexity, but lost to Falcons and Apogee. MongolZ demonstrate great preparation at the start of maps, aggressive style and good shooting, especially from bLitz. But they lack stability against more experienced opponents, and the match against FaZe will be another test.
Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
Apr 21 | The MongolZ | 2 - 1 | Complexity |
Apr 10 | The MongolZ | 1 - 2 | Falcons |
Apr 09 | The MongolZ | 2 - 0 | FURIA |
Apr 08 | The MongolZ | 2 - 0 | Liquid |
Apr 07 | The MongolZ | 2 - 0 | Apogee |
Map Pool
FaZe have a powerful selection of maps. They feel good on Train (50%), Mirage (55%), and Anubis (55%), often using these maps for aggressive starts. At the same time, the weaknesses are Inferno (43%), which is likely to be banned at an early stage. In general, the team demonstrates flexibility and is able to adapt to the opponent.
The MongolZ show high results on Inferno (73%), Anubis (69%), and Mirage (67%), focusing on tight control and successful exchanges. Their weakest decks are Train (0%) and Nuke (43%), and they can be a risk zone in this series. MongolZ has a rather narrow active pool, which can be a problem in deep Bo3s.
Map | FaZe WR | M | B | Last 5 Matches (FaZe ) | The MongolZ WR | M | B | Last 5 Matches (The MongolZ) |
Train | 50% | 2 | 15 | W, L | 0% | 0 | 21 | - |
Inferno | 43% | 14 | 8 | W, W | 73% | 11 | 3 | W, L, W, W, L |
Anubis | 55% | 11 | 10 | L, W, L, L, W | 69% | 13 | 7 | L, L, W, L, W |
Mirage | 55% | 11 | 9 | W, W, L | 67% | 21 | 1 | W, L, W, W, W |
Nuke | 53% | 15 | 9 | W, W, L, W, L | 43% | 7 | 18 | W, L, W, L, W |
Dust II | 53% | 15 | 10 | W, W, L, W, W | 62% | 11 | 3 | W, W, L, L, L |
Ancient | 71% | 21 | 1 | L, L, W, W, W | 64% | 22 | 0 | W, L, W, L, L |
Prediction.
The match looks balanced, but FaZe has more experience, variability, and individual skill. The MongolZ will be able to fight if they manage to win their comfortable map, but at the decisive moment, FaZe have an advantage. We expect FaZe to win with a score of 2-1.
Prediction: FaZe wins 2-1
IEM Melbourne 2025 takes place from April 21 to 27. The entire tournament is held in Melbourne, Australia, at the Rod Laver Arena. Participants are competing for a prize pool of $300,000. You can follow the results and progress of the tournament at this link.
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