- whyimalive
Predictions
23:45, 22.02.2025

The grand final of PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 promises to be an exciting showdown between MOUZ and Falcons. Both teams have come a long way, overcoming challenges and proving their competitiveness. This tournament has been an important test of their skills, as each victory on the way to the final required maximum concentration and tactical flexibility. Now, the fate of the championship title will be decided in the last and most important match.
Current Form of the Teams
MOUZ
The average rating of MOUZ at events over the past month is 6.1. The team has experienced a tough month, failing to achieve success at the BLAST Bounty Spring Closed Qualifier and IEM Katowice 2025, where they were eliminated after the first two losses. However, at PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, MOUZ performed much better, managing to advance to the playoffs with a 3-2 record, and then winning in the quarterfinals and semifinals.
In the last five matches, MOUZ secured three victories against Astralis, paiN, and Virtus.pro, but suffered defeats from Falcons and FaZe. This indicates that while the team has gained form, inconsistency in results remains an issue.
Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
---|---|---|---|
Feb 22 | MOUZ | 2 - 1 | Astralis |
Feb 21 | MOUZ | 2 - 0 | paiN |
Feb 18 | MOUZ | 2 - 1 | Virtus.pro |
Feb 17 | MOUZ | 1 - 2 | Falcons |
Feb 16 | MOUZ | 0 - 2 | FaZe |
Falcons
Falcons also have an average rating of 6.1 over the past month. Their tournament results have been similar to MOUZ: they did not perform well at BLAST Bounty Spring 2025: Closed Qualifier and IEM Katowice 2025 but managed to pass the IEM Dallas 2025 qualifiers after a successful start. At PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, Falcons confidently advanced to the playoffs with a 3-1 record, then went on to win the quarterfinals and semifinals.
Falcons won 4 of their last 5 matches, defeating FaZe, Eternal Fire, MOUZ, and Astralis. Their sole loss was against paiN. This shows that the team is in excellent form and can confidently compete for the title.
Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
---|---|---|---|
Feb 22 | Falcons | 2 - 0 | FaZe |
Feb 21 | Falcons | 2 - 1 | Eternal Fire |
Feb 17 | Falcons | 2 - 1 | MOUZ |
Feb 16 | Falcons | 2 - 1 | Astralis |
Feb 15 | Falcons | 1 - 2 | paiN |
Team Map Pool
MOUZ traditionally bans the map Anubis (36 times), while Falcons prefer to exclude Inferno (23 times). Therefore, it is expected that the first banned map will be Anubis by MOUZ, and Falcons will remove Inferno. MOUZ likes to adapt to the opponent's weaknesses and most often chooses Mirage (50% win rate), Nuke (60%), or Inferno (67%). However, given that Inferno will be banned by Falcons, they are most likely to pick Nuke. Falcons, in turn, may choose Dust II (60% win rate) or Ancient (53%). We expect their choice to fall on Dust II. Then MOUZ might choose Mirage, and Falcons — Ancient, to take advantage of their strengths on this map. The remaining map, which will not be banned, is likely to be Train.
Map | MOUZ Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (MOUZ) | Falcons Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Falcons) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Train | 0% | 0 | 3 | 67% | 3 | 2 | W, L, W | |
Anubis | 0% | 0 | 36 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 50% | 10 | 9 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
Inferno | 67% | 15 | 4 | L, L, W, L, W | 25% | 4 | 23 | L, L, W, FB, FB |
Nuke | 60% | 20 | 5 | W, W, L, L, W | 31% | 16 | 3 | L, W, L, W, W |
Mirage | 50% | 22 | 0 | W, L, L, W, W | 33% | 12 | 12 | L, L, W, L, W |
Ancient | 36% | 11 | 9 | L, W, L, L, W | 53% | 15 | 12 | L, L, W, L, W |
Dust II | 55% | 11 | 14 | L, W, W, W, W | 60% | 20 | 1 | W, W, W, L, L |
Head-to-Head Matches
Over the past six months, MOUZ and Falcons have met once — just five days ago. In that match, Falcons secured a 2:1 victory, which may give them a psychological advantage ahead of the upcoming grand final.
Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
---|---|---|---|
Feb 17 | MOUZ | 1 - 2 | Falcons |
Match Prediction
Falcons approach the final in a more confident form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and already having a recent victory over MOUZ. Additionally, their map Dust II is quite strong, and MOUZ's instability in decisive stages of tournaments could work against them.
However, MOUZ has managed to overcome difficulties and reach the final, which speaks to their resilience. If they can prepare well for Dust II and Train, they can put up a serious fight.
Prediction: Falcons win 3:2.
PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 takes place from February 14 to 23 in Cluj-Napoca, Romania. Sixteen teams are participating in the tournament with a prize pool of $1,250,000. You can follow the schedule and results of the event here.
Comments