On May 3, 2025, at 14:00 (UTC), MOUZ will face Falcons in a best-of-3 series during the BLAST Rivals Spring 2025 Playoffs. This match is part of the prestigious BLAST Rivals Spring 2025, currently taking place in Denmark. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Watch the match here.
Current form of the teams
MOUZ, currently ranked 2nd in the world rankings, has been in impressive form. Over the last month, they have achieved a 71% win rate, reflecting their consistent performance. In the past half year, their win rate stands at 66%, which is a testament to their strength and adaptability. Their recent earnings of $625,000 place them 4th in terms of financial performance among top teams. MOUZ has shown resilience in recent tournaments, securing a 3-4th place finish at the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne 2025, earning $25,000. In their last five matches, MOUZ defeated FaZe in the BLAST Rivals Spring 2025 Quarterfinals, but they faced a setback against Vitality, the top-ranked team. They also secured victories against paiN and The MongolZ, while losing to Falcons in the semifinals of the IEM Melbourne 2025.
Falcons, ranked 8th in the world, have demonstrated a commendable performance, particularly in the last month with a 75% win rate. Their win rate over the past six months is 59%, indicating an upward trend. They recently earned $468,500, ranking 5th in terms of earnings. Falcons finished 2nd at the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne 2025, securing $50,000. In their recent matches, Falcons emerged victorious against Spirit and FaZe in the BLAST Rivals Spring 2025, showcasing their ability to compete against top-tier teams. Despite a loss to Vitality in the IEM Melbourne 2025 Grand Final, their victories against GamerLegion and MOUZ in the semifinals highlight their potential threat in the upcoming match.
Teams’ Map Pool
The anticipated map veto process suggests MOUZ will first ban Anubis, while Falcons are likely to ban Inferno. MOUZ is expected to pick Nuke, a map where they have a 75% win rate over the last six months. Falcons might opt for Dust2, a map they are comfortable on with a 68% win rate. MOUZ will then ban Train, and Falcons will likely ban Ancient, leaving Mirage as the decider map. Historically, MOUZ has a slight edge on Nuke, while Falcons have shown strength on Dust2.
| Map | MOUZ Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (MOUZ) | Falcons Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Falcons) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anubis | 0% | 0 | 39 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 50% | 2 | 27 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Nuke | 75% | 24 | 1 | L, W, W, L, W | 56% | 16 | 4 | W, W, L, W, L |
| Train | 60% | 5 | 3 | W, W, W, L, L | 42% | 12 | 6 | W, L, L, W, L |
| Ancient | 73% | 15 | 7 | W, W, L, W, W | 61% | 18 | 9 | L, W, FB, W, W |
| Dust II | 60% | 15 | 15 | L, W, L, L, W | 68% | 22 | 5 | W, L, W, W, W |
| Inferno | 39% | 18 | 6 | L, L, W, L, L | 33% | 15 | 17 | W, W, W, L, L |
| Mirage | 53% | 19 | 5 | L, L, W, W, L | 59% | 17 | 5 | W, W, W, L, L |
Head-to-Head
In their recent encounters, MOUZ holds a slight edge with three wins out of the last five matches against Falcons. Notably, in their last meeting on April 26, 2025, Falcons secured a 2-0 victory, showcasing their ability to challenge MOUZ. Historically, MOUZ has shown dominance on maps like Nuke, while Falcons have been strong on Dust2.
Prediction
Despite MOUZ’s strong form and high rankings, Falcons’ recent victory against them and their momentum from the last tournaments suggest they can edge out this series. With a solid map like Dust2 in their arsenal and recent wins against teams like Spirit and FaZe, Falcons are poised to pull off an upset in a tight 2:1 match.
Prediction: Falcons 2:1 MOUZ
Falcons (1.55) vs. MOUZ (2.40) — May 3, 2025, 16:00 CEST.
Odds are taken from Stake.com and are current at the time of publication.
BLAST Rivals Spring 2025 takes place from April 30 to May 4 in Denmark, featuring a prize pool of $350,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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