On May 4th, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC, BIG will face off against HEROIC in the grand final of the MESA Nomadic Masters: Spring 2025. This best-of-5 showdown promises to be a thrilling conclusion to the tournament. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. For more details, visit the match page.
Current form of the teams
BIG, currently ranked 24th in the world, has shown a steady performance with a win streak of three matches. Over the last six months, they have earned $79,750, placing them 22nd in earnings compared to their peers. Their win rates reveal a consistent improvement, with a 53% overall win rate, which increases to 58% over the past month. In their recent matches, BIG has secured victories over B8 and Eruption, although they faced setbacks against higher-ranked teams like 3DMAX and MOUZ.
HEROIC, on the other hand, holds the 23rd spot in the world rankings and is on an impressive seven-match winning streak. Their recent earnings of $154,000 over the last six months position them 12th among top teams. HEROIC’s win rate is notably high, with a 65% win rate over the past six months, peaking at 92% in the last month. They have been dominant in their recent matches, securing a first-place finish at the CCT Season 2 Global Finals. Their recent victories include convincing wins over Chinggis Warriors and JiJieHao.
Teams’ Map Pool
The map veto scenario for this match is expected to unfold as follows: BIG will likely first ban Anubis, while HEROIC will first ban Inferno. BIG may choose Ancient as their first pick, given their 57% win rate on this map over the past six months, while HEROIC could opt for Nuke, where they have a 44% win rate. As the series progresses, BIG might pick Mirage, a map where they have a 50% win rate, and HEROIC might choose Dust2, capitalizing on their 71% win rate. Train is predicted to be the decider map, where BIG holds an 80% win rate, potentially giving them an edge if the series reaches this stage.
| Map | BIG Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (BIG) | HEROIC Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (HEROIC) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Train | 80% | 5 | 12 | W, W, W, W, FB | 33% | 6 | 8 | L, L, L, W, W |
| Anubis | 25% | 4 | 30 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 59% | 17 | 5 | W, L, W, W, W |
| Inferno | 33% | 15 | 15 | W, L, L, W, W | 0% | 0 | 35 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Mirage | 50% | 28 | 6 | L, W, L, W, W | 74% | 19 | 2 | W, L, W, L, W |
| Dust II | 47% | 17 | 4 | W, W, L, L, L | 67% | 18 | 13 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Nuke | 58% | 12 | 11 | W, W, W, FB, FB | 44% | 16 | 8 | W, W, L, L, W |
| Ancient | 57% | 37 | 1 | W, L, L, L, W | 58% | 26 | 7 | W, W, W, L, W |
Head-to-Head
In recent encounters, BIG has managed to secure victories in three of their last five matches against HEROIC, showcasing a 39% win rate in these head-to-head battles. Historically, BIG has shown a tendency to perform well on maps like Train and Ancient against HEROIC, while HEROIC has had success on maps like Mirage and Dust2. This dynamic could play a significant role in the upcoming match, especially considering the map veto predictions.
Prediction: BIG 1:3 HEROIC
Based on current form, historical performances, and the map veto scenario, HEROIC is favored to win this match. With a win probability of 71% and a recent streak of victories, HEROIC’s momentum is hard to overlook. Although BIG has shown resilience in past encounters and holds a strong map pool, HEROIC’s recent dominance and strategic map picks are likely to secure them the victory. We predict HEROIC will take the series 3-1, leveraging their superior recent form and strategic prowess.
Prediction: BIG 1:3 HEROIC
BIG (2.90) vs. HEROIC (1.35) — May 4, 2025, 12:30 CEST.
Odds are taken from Stake.com and are current at the time of publication.
MESA Nomadic Masters: Spring 2025 takes place from April 30 to May 4 in Mongolia, featuring a prize pool of $250,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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