On May 4, 2025, at 14:00 GMT, Falcons will face Vitality in the grand final of the BLAST Rivals Spring 2025 at the Playoffs stage. This best-of-5 series promises to be an intense showdown between two top-tier teams. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Match details.
Current form of the teams
Falcons, currently ranked 8th in the world (world ranking), have shown a strong performance recently, boasting a win streak of three matches. Their overall win rate stands at 52%, with a notable increase to 76% over the past month. Falcons have earned $468,500 in the last six months, placing them 4th in earnings ranking. In their recent matches, they have secured victories against top teams like MOUZ and Spirit, while their only recent loss came against Vitality in a closely contested series at the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne 2025. This recent form indicates they are in a competitive state for the upcoming match.
Vitality, the top-ranked team in the world, are on an impressive 24-match winning streak. Their overall win rate is 69%, and they have been dominant over the past year with a 94% win rate in the last six months, and a perfect 100% in the last month. Vitality have amassed $823,750 in earnings over the last six months, ranking them 2nd in earnings. Their recent matches include decisive victories against teams like Spirit and MOUZ. Vitality’s form is undeniably strong, making them a formidable opponent for Falcons.
Teams’ Map Pool
The map veto prediction suggests that Falcons will first ban Anubis, while Vitality will ban Ancient. Falcons are expected to pick Mirage, where they have a 59% win rate over the last six months, while Vitality might opt for Inferno, boasting a perfect 100% win rate on that map. Falcons’ second pick could be Nuke, a map where they have a 59% win rate, and Vitality might choose Train, where they have a 100% win rate. The decider is predicted to be Dust2, a map where both teams have shown strong performances.
| Map | Falcons Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Falcons) | Vitality Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Vitality) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inferno | 33% | 15 | 18 | L, W, L, L, L | 100% | 15 | 4 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Ancient | 61% | 18 | 10 | L, W, FB, W, W | 0% | 0 | 31 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Train | 42% | 12 | 6 | W, W, L, W, L | 100% | 6 | 2 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Nuke | 59% | 17 | 4 | W, W, W, W, L | 87% | 15 | 2 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Dust II | 70% | 23 | 5 | W, W, W, W, W | 85% | 13 | 5 | W, W, L, L, W |
| Anubis | 50% | 2 | 27 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 64% | 11 | 10 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Mirage | 59% | 17 | 5 | W, W, L, W, L | 72% | 18 | 5 | W, W, W, L, L |
Head-to-Head
In their recent head-to-head encounters, Vitality has dominated with a 100% win rate against Falcons. Their last meeting on April 27, 2025, saw Vitality securing a 3-2 victory in a closely contested match. Historically, Vitality has shown a tendency to pick maps where they have a strong win rate, such as Inferno and Train, while avoiding maps like Ancient, which they consistently ban.
Prediction
Considering the current form, historical performances, and map pool statistics, Vitality is likely to secure a victory in this grand final. With a win probability of 87% for Vitality and their recent dominance over Falcons in head-to-head matches, they are expected to take the series 3-1. Falcons will need to capitalize on their map picks and hope to disrupt Vitality’s strategies to turn the tide in their favor.
Prediction: Falcons 1:3 Vitality
Falcons (2.70) vs. Vitality (1.45) — May 4, 2025, 16:00 CEST.
Odds are taken from Stake.com and are current at the time of publication.
BLAST Rivals Spring 2025 takes place from April 30 to May 4 in Denmark, featuring a prize pool of $350,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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