On September 14, 2025, at 15:00 CEST, Dragon Ranger Gaming will face T1 in a best-of series within Group D of VALORANT Champions 2025. We analyzed the statistics and the current form of both teams to provide a prediction for the match outcome. Follow the match here.

Current form of the teams

Dragon Ranger Gaming enters this matchup with a mixed record from their recent performances. Their recent form shows a win rate of 50% over the last six months, with a similar rate in the past month. However, their recent streak has not been favorable, as they currently hold a losing streak. In their last five matches, Dragon Ranger Gaming secured victories against Bilibili Gaming, XLG Esports, and EDward Gaming, but suffered losses to Titan Esports Club and Bilibili Gaming in the grand final of VCT 2025: China Stage 2, where they finished in 2nd place.

It is worth noting that DRG are competing at this tournament with a stand-in. Ilya "vo0kashu" Ushakov was unable to obtain a visa to Paris, where the event is taking place, so the club signed Maximilian "Demon1" Mazanov ahead of the tournament. Demon1, who became a Champions winner in 2023, is not in his best form, as he has not competed regularly on the professional stage for quite some time. In addition, the team faces a language barrier issue and did not have enough time to fully prepare with the new player.

T1, on the other hand, boasts a slightly better overall win rate of 55% and has shown strong form over the recent year with a 64% win rate. However, their performance has dipped in the last six months to a win rate of 47%, aligning with Dragon Ranger Gaming’s recent form. T1’s recent matches include a mix of wins and losses; they triumphed over Nongshim RedForce and DetonatioN FocusMe, but fell to Rex Regum Qeon and Paper Rex in the VCT 2025: Pacific Stage 2, where they secured a 4th place finish and earned $25,000, placing them 36th in recent earnings.

Map Pool

Considering the matches over the past six months, T1 will most likely remove Corrode or Lotus, which are DRG’s strongest maps, while the Chinese team will get rid of Bind. This leaves DRG with only a few maps they can play well. They might be able to put up a good fight on Sunset, but their chances on the opponent’s pick and in a potential decider are very slim.

Head-to-Head

The teams have never faced each other on the international stage. This will be their first match.

Match Prediction

Considering the current form and statistical data, T1 appears to have the upper hand with a 68% win probability according to our prediction model. Dragon Ranger Gaming, while competitive, may struggle against T1’s slightly superior form and recent performances. The predicted scoreline is 1:2 in favor of T1, reflecting their higher win probability and recent success in high-stakes matches.

Prediction: Dragon Ranger Gaming 1:2 T1

VALORANT Champions 2025 takes place from September 12 to October 5, 2025, in France, featuring a prize pool of $2,250,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the tournament page.