In one of the semifinals of the BLAST Open Spring 2025, Vitality will face Virtus.pro. The French team enters the match as the favorite, showcasing excellent form and a winning streak. VP, despite their inconsistent results, managed to reach the semifinals and are ready to put up a fight. Considering the previous head-to-head encounters where Vitality won twice with clean sheets, Virtus.pro will need to draw serious conclusions to change the outcome of the clash. Let's analyze the current form of the teams, their map pool, and make a match prediction.
Current Form of the Teams
Vitality
The French organization is in excellent form. Their average rating in S-tier tournaments over the past month is 6.6, which is backed by their recent successes. At the ESL Pro League Season 21, Vitality confidently cruised through the group stage with a 3-0 record and won the grand final, losing only two maps throughout the tournament. At the current BLAST Open Spring event, the team started with a victory and has already reached the semifinals. Vitality's recent results are also impressive — five consecutive wins against top teams, including Astralis, MOUZ (twice), The Mongolz, and Liquid.
| Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 19 | Vitality | 2 - 0 | Astralis |
| March 16 | Vitality | 3 - 0 | MOUZ |
| March 15 | Vitality | 2 - 1 | The MongolZ |
| March 14 | Vitality | 2 - 0 | Liquid |
| March 9 | Vitality | 2 - 0 | MOUZ |
Virtus.pro
The Russian organization is performing somewhat inconsistently. Their average rating in S-tier tournaments over the past month is 6.5, slightly lower than their opponents. The last major tournament, PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, did not go well for VP as they exited at the group stage with a 2-3 record. However, at BLAST Open Spring, the team started with a win and made it to the semifinals. In their last five matches, Virtus.pro won three times (against FaZe, Wildcard, and Complexity) and lost twice (to MOUZ and paiN).
| Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 19 | Virtus.pro | 2 - 1 | FaZe |
| February 18 | Virtus.pro | 1 - 2 | MOUZ |
| February 17 | Virtus.pro | 0 - 2 | paiN |
| February 16 | Virtus.pro | 2 - 0 | Wildcard |
| February 15 | Virtus.pro | 2 - 0 | Complexity |
Map Pool of the Teams
Vitality traditionally bans Ancient first, as it is their weakest map, while Virtus.pro will likely remove Nuke. The French could pick Inferno, where they have a 92% win rate, or Dust II with an 86% win rate. Virtus.pro, analyzing the situation, might choose Dust II, where their win rate is 73%, or try Mirage, although their success on this map is less stable. After the final bans, Anubis is likely to be the decider.
| Map | Vitality Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Vitality) | Virtus.Pro Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Virtus.Pro) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuke | 83% | 12 | 2 | W, W, W, L, W | 0% | 0 | 25 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Train | 100% | 3 | 2 | W, W, W | 50% | 4 | 3 | W, L, W, L |
| Ancient | 0% | 0 | 30 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 50% | 16 | 1 | W, L, W, L, W |
| Inferno | 92% | 13 | 7 | W, W, W, W, W | 54% | 13 | 6 | L, W, W, L, W |
| Dust II | 86% | 14 | 1 | W, W, W, W, W | 73% | 11 | 5 | W, L, W, W, W |
| Mirage | 63% | 16 | 5 | L, W, L, W, W | 50% | 10 | 3 | W, L, W, L, L |
| Anubis | 46% | 13 | 11 | L, W, L, W, W | 38% | 8 | 5 | L, W, L, L, L |
Head-to-Head Encounters
In the past six months, Vitality and Virtus.pro have met twice, and both times the French emerged victorious with a clean 2-0 score. The last match a month ago also ended in favor of Vitality, indicating a significant advantage in their head-to-head battles.
| Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | Virtus.pro | 0 - 2 | Vitality |
| 2 months ago | Virtus.pro | 0 - 2 | Vitality |
Match Prediction
On paper, Vitality appears to be the clear favorite. They are in excellent form, have a 100% win record in their last five matches, defeated Virtus.pro twice in a row with a 2-0 score, and have a more reliable map pool. The only chance for VP is to surprise their opponent with a map or tactic, but even in that case, the French team looks much more stable.
Prediction: Vitality wins 2-0
BLAST Open Spring 2025 takes place from March 19 to 30. The group stage is held at the BLAST studio in Copenhagen, and the playoffs will be at the MEO arena in Lisbon, Portugal. For more details on the results and progress of the tournament, you can follow this link.
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