The match between Virtus.pro and Spirit in the decisive round of Group A at the BLAST Open Spring 2025 will determine the last participant for the playoffs. Both teams are under pressure — a loss means elimination from the tournament, while a victory secures a spot in the Lisbon arena. In this article, we will assess the current form of the teams, consider the potential map pool, and attempt to predict the outcome of the match.
Current Team Form
Virtus.pro approaches the crucial match for a playoff spot at BLAST Open Spring 2025 as a team capable of surprises, but with inconsistency. Their average rating in recent tournaments is 6.0, and their performance at PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 ended at the group stage with a 2-3 record. However, in the last match, VP managed to surprise everyone by defeating Falcons, which indicates the team's potential, especially if they hit their stride.
| Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 23 | Virtus.pro | 2 - 1 | Falcons |
| March 21 | Virtus.pro | 0 - 2 | Vitality |
| March 19 | Virtus.pro | 2 - 1 | FaZe |
| February 18 | Virtus.pro | 1 - 2 | MOUZ |
| February 17 | Virtus.pro | 0 - 2 | paiN |
Meanwhile, Spirit appears much more stable. In recent months, they secured 3rd-4th place at ESL Pro League Season 21 and finished second at IEM Katowice 2025. The team demonstrates high-class gameplay, especially in terms of individual performances. Nevertheless, their weak spot is their reliance on donk. In games where he underperforms, the team may struggle even against weaker opponents.
| Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 23 | Spirit | 2 - 0 | FaZe |
| March 21 | Spirit | 1 - 2 | MOUZ |
| March 19 | Spirit | 2 - 0 | The Huns |
| March 15 | Spirit | 1 - 2 | MOUZ |
| March 13 | Spirit | 2 - 1 | Eternal Fire |
Map Pool
In the ban phase, Spirit will likely remove Inferno, where they have a win rate of zero. This is an obvious move to prevent the opponent from exploiting their weakness. Virtus.pro, in turn, will almost certainly get rid of Nuke — a map that traditionally poses challenges for them.
Regarding the first picks, Spirit might choose Train, where they have a perfect win rate (100%) and solid results. VP, on the other hand, will likely opt for Dust2 — their strongest map with a 73% win rate. The second wave of bans will probably lead to the exclusion of Mirage by Spirit and Anubis by VP.
| Map | Virtus.Pro Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Virtus.Pro) | Spirit Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Spirit) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuke | 0% | 0 | 27 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 59% | 17 | 9 | L, W, L, W, L |
| Inferno | 53% | 15 | 6 | W, W, L, W, L | 0% | 1 | 40 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Train | 50% | 4 | 4 | W, L, W, L, L | 100% | 3 | 8 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Anubis | 33% | 9 | 5 | W, L, L, L, L | 56% | 16 | 7 | L, W, L, L, W |
| Mirage | 45% | 11 | 4 | W, W, L, L, L | 67% | 18 | 6 | W, W, L, W, W |
| Dust II | 73% | 11 | 5 | W, W, W, L, L | 83% | 24 | 2 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Ancient | 53% | 17 | 1 | L, W, L, W, W | 54% | 13 | 6 | W, L, L, W, L |
Match Prediction
The match promises to be intense. Despite Virtus.pro's inconsistency, their victory over Falcons shows that the team can deliver when it counts. However, the overall form and stability of Spirit work in their favor. All things being equal, if donk performs at his usual level, Spirit should advance.
Prediction: Spirit 2-0
BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 takes place from March 19 to 30. The group stage will be held at the BLAST studio in Copenhagen, and the playoffs will be at the MEO arena in Lisbon, Portugal. For more details on the results and progress of the tournament, follow this link.
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