On August 23, 2025, at 14:30 UTC, two esports giants, Vitality and The MongolZ, will face off in the Esports World Cup 2025 Playoffs. This best-of-3 series is part of the prestigious Esports World Cup 2025, held in Saudi Arabia. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. For more details on the match, visit here.

Current form of the teams

Vitality, currently ranked number 1 in the world (see rankings), has been on an impressive run lately. With a win streak of two matches, they have demonstrated their prowess with an overall win rate of 70%. Over the past year, they have maintained an impressive 85% win rate, which has further increased to 93% in the last six months. In the recent month, their win rate stands at 80%. Vitality’s recent performances include victories over TYLOO and Liquid in the ongoing Esports World Cup 2025, and a semifinal finish in the BLAST Bounty Fall 2025, where they earned $25,625. Overall, in the last six months, they have accumulated earnings of $1,230,625, ranking them first in terms of earnings. In their last five matches, Vitality has won four, including a 2-0 win against TYLOO and a 2-0 win against Liquid, but suffered a 0-2 loss to The MongolZ.

The MongolZ, ranked 4th globally, are also riding a two-match win streak. They have a slightly lower overall win rate of 64%, with a 67% win rate over the past year and 63% in the last six months. However, they have shown improvement in the last month, boasting a 73% win rate. The MongolZ’s recent victories include a 2-1 win against 3DMAX and a 2-0 win against GamerLegion in the Esports World Cup 2025. In the BLAST Bounty Fall 2025, they finished as runners-up, earning $68,438. Over the last six months, The MongolZ have earned $472,813, placing them fifth in the earnings ranking. Their recent form includes a notable 2-0 victory over Vitality, showcasing their capability to challenge top-tier teams.

Teams’ Map Pool

The map veto scenario for the upcoming match is intriguing. Vitality is expected to first ban Ancient, a map they have consistently avoided, while The MongolZ will likely first ban Train, aligning with their historical tendencies. Vitality is anticipated to first pick Dust2, a map where they have a strong 90% win rate, and The MongolZ may counter with Mirage, where they have a 72% win rate. The bans will continue with Vitality removing Nuke and The MongolZ banning Anubis, leaving Inferno as the decider map. Inferno has been a favorable map for both teams, with Vitality holding an 83% win rate and The MongolZ at 53%.

Head-to-Head

In their last five encounters, Vitality has generally dominated The MongolZ, winning four out of five matches. However, The MongolZ recently turned the tables with a 2-0 victory on August 16, 2025, during the BLAST Bounty Fall 2025. Historically, Vitality has had a significant advantage, with a 90% win rate against The MongolZ. Map-wise, Vitality tends to excel on Dust2 and Inferno, while The MongolZ have shown strength on Mirage.

Prediction

Based on the analysis, Vitality is favored to win with a predicted score of 2:0. Their recent form, world ranking, and map pool strength, particularly on Dust2 and Inferno, give them a significant edge. Although The MongolZ have shown they can compete, Vitality’s consistency and historical dominance in head-to-head matchups suggest they are likely to secure the victory.

Prediction: Vitality 2:0 The MongolZ

The Esports World Cup 2025 takes place from August 20 to August 24 in Saudi Arabia, featuring a prize pool of $1,250,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.