In the semifinals of the ESL Pro League Season 21, Vitality and The Mongolz will clash in a tense battle for a spot in the grand final. Vitality confidently advanced through the group stage without a single defeat and approach the match in excellent form. Meanwhile, The Mongolz continue to prove their competitiveness at the top level, consistently performing against strong opponents. Both teams are aiming for victory, and their encounter promises to be thrilling. In this article, we will analyze the current form of the teams, their map pool, and provide a match prediction.
Current Form of the Teams
Vitality has been showing excellent form recently. Their average rating over the past month is 6.6. The team performed successfully at IEM Katowice 2025, winning the tournament with a decisive 3-0 score in the grand final. In the ESL Pro League Season 21, they confidently advanced to the playoffs with a 3-0 record.
| Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 16:45 | Vitality | 2 - 0 | Liquid |
| Mar 09, 17:18 | Vitality | 2 - 0 | MOUZ |
| Mar 08, 18:00 | Vitality | 2 - 0 | 3DMAX |
| Mar 07, 11:30 | Vitality | 2 - 1 | MIBR |
| Feb 09, 18:00 | Vitality | 3 - 0 | Spirit |
The Mongolz are delivering stable results in major tournaments. Their average rating over the past month is 6.1. At the last PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, they performed well. They easily made it to the playoffs with a 3-0 record in the Swiss system but lost to Astralis in the playoffs. In EPL S21, they are showing confidence, finishing the group stage 3-1.
Map Pool
Vitality will likely ban Ancient – their worst map with a 0% win rate, as well as Anubis, where their win rate is only 36% over 14 games. For their pick, the French are likely to choose Nuke (92% win rate over 12 matches), which is traditionally one of their strongest maps. The second option could be Dust2 (85% win rate over 13 matches) or Inferno (82% win rate), where the team also feels comfortable.
On the side of The Mongolz, the first ban will be Train, as they haven't played it at all. For their pick, the team might choose Mirage (68% win rate over 19 games) or Inferno (75% win rate) – a map where they show good results. Also, Ancient (67% win rate over 21 matches) remains a strong point for the team, but considering its likely ban by Vitality, it is unlikely to be in the pool.
| Map | Vitality Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Vitality) | The MongolZ Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (The MongolZ) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Train | 100% | 3 | 1 | W, W, W | 0% | 0 | 12 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Ancient | 0% | 0 | 29 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 61% | 18 | 0 | L, L, W, L, W |
| Nuke | 92% | 12 | 2 | W, W, W, W, W | 43% | 7 | 14 | FB, FB, FB, L, W |
| Anubis | 36% | 14 | 11 | L, L, W, L, L | 73% | 11 | 7 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Dust II | 85% | 13 | 1 | W, W, W, W, W | 70% | 10 | 13 | W, W, W, L, L |
| Inferno | 82% | 11 | 8 | W, W, W, W, W | 73% | 11 | 3 | W, W, W, L, W |
| Mirage | 63% | 16 | 4 | L, W, L, W, W | 68% | 22 | 1 | L, W, L, W, W |
Past Encounters
The teams have already met at IEM Katowice 2025 in the semifinals, where Vitality secured a confident 2-0 victory and advanced to the final. The maps played were Nuke (13-9) and Mirage (13-7), indicating a strong advantage for the French in head-to-head matches.
Match Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and their previous encounter at IEM Katowice 2025, Vitality appears to be the clear favorites in this matchup. Their confident 2-0 victory last time, higher rating, and strong map pool give them a significant advantage.
The Mongolz are capable of putting up a fight, especially if they successfully choose maps. However, even with successful picks, the level of individual skill and team cohesion of Vitality seems higher.
Prediction: Vitality 2-0
ESL Pro League Season 21 takes place from March 1 to 16 in Stockholm, Sweden. 24 teams are competing for a prize pool of $400,000. Follow the schedule, match results, and tournament progress via the link here.
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