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Vitality vs MOUZ Match Prediction and Analysis - IEM Dallas 2025 Grand Final
The grand final of the Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 is set to take place on May 25th at 19:00 UTC, featuring Vitality and MOUZ in a best-of-5 showdown. This climactic match will determine the champion of the Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 playoffs. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. For more details, visit the match page.
Current form of the teams
Vitality, currently ranked #1 in the world, is on an impressive 29-match win streak, showcasing their dominance in the competitive scene. Over the past six months, they have amassed earnings of $948,750, placing them second in the earnings ranking. Their recent form is impeccable, with a 100% win rate in the last month and a 94% win rate over the past half year. Vitality’s recent victories include triumphs over Falcons (2-1), The MongolZ (2-1), GamerLegion (2-0), and Legacy (2-0) during the Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025. Prior to this tournament, they also secured a victory in the BLAST Rivals Spring 2025, taking home $125,000.
MOUZ, on the other hand, holds the #2 spot in the world rankings and is on a 4-match win streak. Their recent half-year earnings total $665,000, ranking them third in terms of earnings. MOUZ has a 67% win rate over the past month and a 65% win rate over the last six months. Their recent matches at the Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 include victories over The MongolZ (2-0), Falcons (2-0), Liquid (2-0), and BC.Game (2-0). However, they faced a setback against Falcons in the BLAST Rivals Spring 2025 semifinals.
Teams’ Map Pool
The anticipated map veto for this matchup suggests that Vitality will first ban Ancient, while MOUZ will remove Anubis. Vitality is expected to pick Inferno, a map where they have a commanding 94% win rate over the past six months. MOUZ is likely to counter with Mirage, where they have a 58% win rate. Dust2 and Nuke are expected to follow as picks for Vitality and MOUZ, respectively, with the decider map being Train.
| Map | Vitality Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Vitality) | MOUZ Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (MOUZ) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 0% | 0 | 33 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 73% | 15 | 4 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Anubis | 64% | 11 | 10 | W, W, W, W, W | 0% | 0 | 39 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Inferno | 94% | 18 | 4 | W, L, W, W, W | 39% | 18 | 7 | W, L, L, W, W |
| Train | 87% | 7 | 2 | W, W, W, W, L | 67% | 6 | 4 | W, W, L, L, W |
| Dust II | 80% | 15 | 5 | L, W, W, W, W | 59% | 17 | 15 | W, W, L, W, W |
| Mirage | 70% | 20 | 5 | L, W, L, W, W | 58% | 19 | 5 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Nuke | 82% | 17 | 2 | W, W, W, W, L | 73% | 26 | 1 | W, L, W, L, W |
Head-to-Head
In their last five encounters, Vitality has consistently outperformed MOUZ, securing victories in all matches. The most recent meeting on May 1st, 2025, saw Vitality triumph with a 2-1 scoreline. Historically, Vitality holds a significant advantage with a 76% win rate against MOUZ. Their map selections have often favored Inferno and Dust2, where they have excelled, while MOUZ has struggled to find a consistent counter-strategy.
Match Prediction
Considering the current form, historical data, and map pool advantages, Vitality is the clear favorite to win this grand final with a predicted score of 3-1. Their exceptional win rates on key maps like Inferno and Dust2, combined with a dominant head-to-head record, give them a substantial edge over MOUZ. While MOUZ has shown resilience, particularly on maps like Nuke, Vitality’s comprehensive strengths across the board are likely to secure them the championship title in this best-of-5 series.
Prediction: Vitality 3:1 MOUZ
Odds are taken from Stake and are current at the time of publication.
Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 takes place May 19-25 in the United States with a prize pool of $1,000,000. The winner takes home $125,000 in prize money and still gets a club bonus of $160,000. You can follow the news, schedule and results of the tournament at the link.
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