Vitality vs MOUZ Match Prediction and Analysis - ESL Pro League Season 21: Grand Final
  • 00:52, 16.03.2025

Vitality vs MOUZ Match Prediction and Analysis - ESL Pro League Season 21: Grand Final

In the grand final of the ESL Pro League Season 21, two teams will face off — Vitality and MOUZ. Both finalists are showing impressive form: Vitality enters the decisive match with a five-win streak, while MOUZ is ready to challenge again despite a recent loss to their opponent.

Current Team Form

Vitality

Vitality is in outstanding form, with an average rating of 6.5 in S-tier tournaments over the past month. The team won the IEM Katowice 2025 grand final with a 3-0 score and advanced through the ESL Pro League Season 21 playoffs with a 3-0 result. Five consecutive victories, including triumphs over opponents like The Mongolz, Liquid, MOUZ, 3DMAX, and MIBR, make them one of the top contenders for the trophy.

Date Team Score Opponent
Mar 15 Vitality 2 - 1 The MongolZ
Mar 14 Vitality 2 - 0 Liquid
Mar 09 Vitality 2 - 0 MOUZ
Mar 08 Vitality 2 - 0 3DMAX
Mar 07 Vitality 2 - 1 MIBR

MOUZ

MOUZ is showing equally impressive results. Their average rating for the month is 6.1. A victory at the PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 solidified their position, and a successful playoff run in ESL Pro League Season 21 with a 3-1 result demonstrated their competitive spirit. Over the last five matches, they secured four victories against Spirit, G2, Liquid, and Falcons, but fell to Vitality, which could be a pivotal moment before the final.

Date Team Score Opponent
Mar 15 MOUZ 2 - 1 Spirit
Mar 14 MOUZ 2 - 1 G2
Mar 10 MOUZ 2 - 0 Liquid
Mar 09 MOUZ 0 - 2 Vitality
Mar 08 MOUZ 2 - 0 Falcons

Team Map Pool

In the ban stage, Vitality is likely to exclude Ancient, given their frequent exclusion of this map. MOUZ, in turn, will likely ban Anubis, which they traditionally remove at the start. In the map selection phase, Vitality will probably choose Dust II, where they have a high win rate (83%), while MOUZ might prefer Nuke, where they also have significant success (win rate 76%). In the second round of selections, Vitality might pick Inferno, one of their strongest maps with an 83% win rate, while MOUZ may choose Mirage. The deciding map is likely to be Train.

Map Vitality WR M B Last 5 Matches (Vitality) MOUZ WR M B Last 5 Matches (MOUZ)
Ancient 0% 0 29 FB, FB, FB, FB, FB 62% 13 8 W, W, W, W, W
Anubis 43% 14 11 L, W, L, W, W 0% 0 35 FB, FB, FB, FB, FB
Inferno 83% 12 7 W, W, W, W, W 53% 15 5 W, W, L, L, L
Dust II 83% 12 1 W, W, W, W, W 58% 12 13 W, W, W, L, L
Mirage 63% 16 5 L, W, L, W, W 42% 19 3 L, L, W, W, L
Nuke 83% 12 2 W, W, W, W, L 76% 21 2 W, W, W, W, W
Train 100% 3 1 W, W, W 100% 2 3 W, W

Head-to-Head Matchups

In head-to-head matchups over the past six months, Vitality has the upper hand. Six days ago, they defeated MOUZ 2-0, repeating their success from four months ago with the same result. The only time MOUZ managed to defeat Vitality in this period was five months ago, when they won 2-1. These results show Vitality's consistent dominance in recent matches.

Date Team Score Opponent
6 days ago Vitality 2 - 0 MOUZ
4 months ago Vitality 2 - 0 MOUZ
Mar 10 Vitality 1 - 2 MOUZ

Match Prediction

Form, map pool, and head-to-head results favor Vitality. Their confident victories over MOUZ, including the recent one, highlight their superiority. MOUZ, despite their strengths and successful performances, may face challenges on the selected maps.

Prediction: Vitality wins 3-1

The ESL Pro League Season 21 takes place from March 1 to 16 in Stockholm, Sweden. 24 teams compete for a prize pool of $400,000. Follow the schedule, match results, and tournament progress via the link here.

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