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Predictions
00:52, 16.03.2025
In the grand final of the ESL Pro League Season 21, two teams will face off — Vitality and MOUZ. Both finalists are showing impressive form: Vitality enters the decisive match with a five-win streak, while MOUZ is ready to challenge again despite a recent loss to their opponent.
Vitality is in outstanding form, with an average rating of 6.5 in S-tier tournaments over the past month. The team won the IEM Katowice 2025 grand final with a 3-0 score and advanced through the ESL Pro League Season 21 playoffs with a 3-0 result. Five consecutive victories, including triumphs over opponents like The Mongolz, Liquid, MOUZ, 3DMAX, and MIBR, make them one of the top contenders for the trophy.
Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
---|---|---|---|
Mar 15 | Vitality | 2 - 1 | The MongolZ |
Mar 14 | Vitality | 2 - 0 | Liquid |
Mar 09 | Vitality | 2 - 0 | MOUZ |
Mar 08 | Vitality | 2 - 0 | 3DMAX |
Mar 07 | Vitality | 2 - 1 | MIBR |
MOUZ is showing equally impressive results. Their average rating for the month is 6.1. A victory at the PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 solidified their position, and a successful playoff run in ESL Pro League Season 21 with a 3-1 result demonstrated their competitive spirit. Over the last five matches, they secured four victories against Spirit, G2, Liquid, and Falcons, but fell to Vitality, which could be a pivotal moment before the final.
Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
---|---|---|---|
Mar 15 | MOUZ | 2 - 1 | Spirit |
Mar 14 | MOUZ | 2 - 1 | G2 |
Mar 10 | MOUZ | 2 - 0 | Liquid |
Mar 09 | MOUZ | 0 - 2 | Vitality |
Mar 08 | MOUZ | 2 - 0 | Falcons |
In the ban stage, Vitality is likely to exclude Ancient, given their frequent exclusion of this map. MOUZ, in turn, will likely ban Anubis, which they traditionally remove at the start. In the map selection phase, Vitality will probably choose Dust II, where they have a high win rate (83%), while MOUZ might prefer Nuke, where they also have significant success (win rate 76%). In the second round of selections, Vitality might pick Inferno, one of their strongest maps with an 83% win rate, while MOUZ may choose Mirage. The deciding map is likely to be Train.
Map | Vitality WR | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Vitality) | MOUZ WR | M | B | Last 5 Matches (MOUZ) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ancient | 0% | 0 | 29 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 62% | 13 | 8 | W, W, W, W, W |
Anubis | 43% | 14 | 11 | L, W, L, W, W | 0% | 0 | 35 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
Inferno | 83% | 12 | 7 | W, W, W, W, W | 53% | 15 | 5 | W, W, L, L, L |
Dust II | 83% | 12 | 1 | W, W, W, W, W | 58% | 12 | 13 | W, W, W, L, L |
Mirage | 63% | 16 | 5 | L, W, L, W, W | 42% | 19 | 3 | L, L, W, W, L |
Nuke | 83% | 12 | 2 | W, W, W, W, L | 76% | 21 | 2 | W, W, W, W, W |
Train | 100% | 3 | 1 | W, W, W | 100% | 2 | 3 | W, W |
In head-to-head matchups over the past six months, Vitality has the upper hand. Six days ago, they defeated MOUZ 2-0, repeating their success from four months ago with the same result. The only time MOUZ managed to defeat Vitality in this period was five months ago, when they won 2-1. These results show Vitality's consistent dominance in recent matches.
Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
---|---|---|---|
6 days ago | Vitality | 2 - 0 | MOUZ |
4 months ago | Vitality | 2 - 0 | MOUZ |
Mar 10 | Vitality | 1 - 2 | MOUZ |
Form, map pool, and head-to-head results favor Vitality. Their confident victories over MOUZ, including the recent one, highlight their superiority. MOUZ, despite their strengths and successful performances, may face challenges on the selected maps.
Prediction: Vitality wins 3-1
The ESL Pro League Season 21 takes place from March 1 to 16 in Stockholm, Sweden. 24 teams compete for a prize pool of $400,000. Follow the schedule, match results, and tournament progress via the link here.
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