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Predictions
10:40, 14.07.2025

On July 15, 2025, at 18:00 UTC, Astralis will face off against MIBR in the FISSURE Playground 1 Group C stage. This best-of-3 series promises to be a thrilling encounter as both teams aim to advance in this prestigious tournament. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Follow the match here.
Current form of the teams
Astralis, currently ranked 15th in the world (source), has shown commendable performance recently. Over the last six months, they have amassed earnings of $280,375, placing them 6th in the earnings ranking. Their win rates are solid, with an overall win rate of 57% and a recent half-year win rate of 56%. Despite their current zero winstreak, Astralis performed well in the recent PGL Astana 2025, finishing as the runner-up and earning $93,750. In their last five matches, Astralis secured victories against strong opponents like Natus Vincere and Aurora, but fell short against Spirit.
MIBR, on the other hand, is ranked 22nd globally. Their recent form has been less impressive, with a 42% win rate over the past half-year. They have earned $78,000 in the same period, ranking them 28th in earnings. MIBR’s recent performance at the BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 was a mixed bag, securing a 9-11th place finish with wins against BetBoom and Falcons, but they struggled against top-tier teams like FaZe.
Teams’ Map Pool
In the upcoming match, the map veto is predicted to unfold with Astralis banning Anubis first, while MIBR will likely ban Dust2. Astralis is expected to pick Ancient, a map where they have a 62% win rate over 21 matches in the last six months. MIBR might choose Train, where their win rate stands at 33% over six matches. The decider is anticipated to be Inferno, where Astralis holds a 61% win rate compared to MIBR’s 25% over 16 matches.
Map | ASTRALIS | MIBR | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (ASTRALIS) | Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (MIBR) | |
Mirage | 60% | 12 | 22 | WLWLW | 55% | 11 | 23 | LWLWL |
Inferno | 55% | 11 | 23 | WLLWW | 50% | 10 | 24 | LWWLL |
Ancient | 50% | 10 | 24 | LWWLW | 45% | 9 | 25 | WLLWL |
Nuke | 45% | 9 | 25 | WLWWL | 40% | 8 | 26 | LLWWL |
Anubis | 40% | 8 | 26 | LWLWW | 35% | 7 | 27 | WLLLW |
Dust II | 35% | 7 | 27 | WLLWL | 30% | 6 | 28 | LWLLW |
Vertigo | 30% | 6 | 28 | LWWLL | 25% | 5 | 29 | WLWLL |
Head-to-Head
Historically, Astralis has dominated the head-to-head encounters against MIBR, boasting an 83% win rate. Their last meeting in February 2025 saw Astralis emerge victorious with a 2-1 scoreline. MIBR’s last win against Astralis came in January 2025, where they managed a clean 2-0 sweep. Astralis tends to ban Anubis frequently, while MIBR leans towards banning Dust2, aligning with their map veto tendencies.
Prediction
Given the current form, historical dominance, and map statistics, Astralis is favored to win this series with a predicted score of 2:0. With a win probability of 70%, Astralis’s consistent performance on key maps like Ancient and Inferno gives them a significant edge over MIBR. Expect Astralis to secure their picks and capitalize on MIBR’s weaker map pool.
Prediction: Astralis 2:0 MIBR
FISSURE Playground 1 takes place from July 14 to July 20 in Serbia, featuring a prize pool of $1,000,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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