On May 1, 2025, at 11:30 AM UTC, two of the top Counter-Strike 2 teams, Vitality and MOUZ, will clash in the BLAST Rivals Spring 2025 Group A stage. This best-of-3 series is part of a prestigious tournament currently taking place in Denmark. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. For more details, visit the match page.
Current form of the teams
Vitality is riding high at the top of the world rankings, a position they have earned with consistent performances and a remarkable 22-match win streak. Their recent form is nothing short of dominant, boasting a 100% win rate over the last month and a 91% win rate over the past six months. Vitality’s recent triumph at the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne 2025, where they claimed the first place and $125,000, further underscores their formidable status. In their last five matches, Vitality has secured victories against top-tier teams like Falcons and The MongolZ, showcasing their strategic prowess and adaptability.
MOUZ, ranked hight globally, has shown resilience with a recent win against paiN Gaming. Their overall win rate stands at 59%, with a notable improvement to 80% in the last month. Despite a stumble against Falcons in the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne 2025 semifinals, MOUZ managed to secure a respectable 3-4th place finish, earning $25,000. Their earnings over the past six months amount to $650,000, placing them fifth in recent earnings rankings.
Teams’ Map Pool
The map veto for this match is expected to unfold as follows: Vitality will likely ban Ancient first, while MOUZ will remove Anubis. Vitality is expected to pick Inferno, where they have a perfect win rate over the last six months. MOUZ will probably select Nuke, a map they favor with a 73% win rate. Mirage and Train are likely to be banned next, leaving Dust2 as the decider.
| Map | Vitality WR | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Vitality) | MOUZ WR | M | B | Last 5 Matches (MOUZ) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 0% | 0 | 33 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 73% | 15 | 9 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Inferno | 100% | 15 | 5 | W, W, W, W, W | 44% | 18 | 6 | L, W, L, D, W |
| Anubis | 54% | 13 | 11 | W, W, W, W, W | 0% | 0 | 40 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Dust2 | 81% | 16 | 4 | W, W, W, L, L | 53% | 15 | 14 | L, L, W, D, L |
| Train | 100% | 5 | 2 | W, W, W, W, W | 75% | 4 | 3 | W, W, W, W, L |
| Mirage | 68% | 19 | 5 | L, W, W, D, L | 44% | 18 | 5 | L, D, D, L, W |
| Nuke | 87% | 15 | 2 | W, W, W, W, W | 73% | 26 | 1 | W, W, W, W, L |
Head-to-Head
In their last five encounters, Vitality has dominated MOUZ with a 100% win rate. The most recent meeting on March 30, 2025, saw Vitality triumph with a 3-2 scoreline. Historically, Vitality has shown superior map control and strategic depth against MOUZ, often capitalizing on MOUZ’s weaknesses on maps like Inferno and Train.
Prediction
With an 83% win probability, Vitality is heavily favored to win this matchup. Their impeccable form, strategic map veto choices, and historical dominance over MOUZ position them as the likely victors. MOUZ, however, is not to be underestimated, particularly on Nuke, which could lead to a closely contested series. Ultimately, Vitality’s recent performances and map pool strength suggest they will secure a 2-1 victory.
Prediction: Vitality 2:1 MOUZ
BLAST Rivals Spring 2025 will take place from April 30 to May 4. The entire tournament will be held in Copenhagen, Denmark, at the BLAST studio. Participants are competing for a prize pool of $350,000. You can follow the results and progress of the tournament through this link.
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