Falcons vs Vitality Match Prediction and Analysis - IEM Melbourne 2025 Grand Final
Falcons vs Vitality Match Prediction and Analysis - IEM Melbourne 2025 Grand Final

The grand final of IEM Melbourne 2025 will feature a duel between Falcons and Vitality. This matchup promises to be a spectacular end to the tournament, as both teams are in good form and have already met during the tournament, with Vitality defeating Falcons 2-0. The match will be played in a Bo5 format, so we can expect a tense battle and the possibility of seeing a full set of maps.

Current Form of the Teams

Falcons continue to perform well after their triumph at PGL Bucharest 2025. On their way to the final in Melbourne, they defeated SAW, NAVI, GamerLegion, and MOUZ, losing only to Vitality in the upper bracket semifinals. In their last five matches, Falcons have four wins and one loss. According to stats, Falcons have an average score of 6.2, 3.41 kills, and 3.22 deaths per round with 377.15 damage dealt.

Vitality has been playing flawlessly throughout the tournament. After victories over FlyQuest, Liquid, Falcons, and The MongolZ, the team advanced to the final without a single defeat. Vitality has an average score of 6.4, 3.57 kills, and 3.04 deaths per round with 386.3 damage dealt. These figures demonstrate the French team's consistent advantage over their opponents.

Map pool

Falcons have a strong map pool, with particularly strong performances on Ancient (56% win rate in the last 16 matches) and Mirage (60% win rate in the last 15 matches). The team's problem map is Inferno, where they have only a 33% win rate in 15 matches. The Falcons also look quite competitive on Dust2 (60% WR) and Nuke (60% WR), while their results on Anubis (50% WR) and Train (45% WR) are inconsistent.

Vitality look solid on almost all maps. They have a 100% WR on Inferno (13 matches) and Train (4 matches), as well as 86% on Dust2 (14 matches) and Nuke (14 matches). Their only weak map is Ancient, where the team has not played in the last six months (0 matches played). However, Vitality feels confident on Mirage (72% WR in 18 matches) and Anubis (54% WR in 13 matches).

Map
Falcons WR
M
B
Last 5 Matches (Falcons)
Vitality WR
M
B
Last 5 Matches (Vitality)
Inferno
33%
15
16
W L W L L
100%
13
5
W W W W W
Ancient
56%
16
9
L W W L W
0%
0
31
-
Train
45%
11
5
L W W L W
100%
4
2
W W W W
Dust II
60%
20
5
L L W W W
86%
14
4
W W W W L
Nuke
60%
15
4
L W W W W
86%
14
1
W L W W W
Mirage
60%  
15
5
L W W W L
72%
18
5
W W L W W
Anubis
50%
2
25
-
54%
13
11
W W W W W

Previous meetings

In 2025, Vitality and Falcons met once, with Vitality winning the match. They played on Mirage and Inferno, where Vitality won with a confident score (16–13, 13–8).

Prediction

Vitality have already shown their strength in their previous face-off with Falcons in this tournament, beating them 2-0. Their current form, wins in major tournaments, and better individual statistics give them a significant advantage. However, due to the Bo5 format and Falcons' strengths on certain maps, it is possible that the match will go to 4 or even 5 maps.

Prediction: Vitality to win 3:1.

IEM Melbourne 2025 takes place from April 21 to 27. The entire tournament is held in Melbourne, Australia, at Rod Laver Arena. Participants compete for a prize pool of $300,000. You can follow the results and progress of the tournament via this link.

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