The upcoming match between Vitality and Falcons is set to take place on August 24, 2025, at 07:00 UTC. This best-of-3 showdown is part of the Esports World Cup 2025 Decider, a prestigious tournament held in Saudi Arabia. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Match Details
Current form of the teams
Vitality, currently ranked number 1 in the world (World Rankings), has shown impressive form with a recent half-year win rate of 91%. Their overall win rate stands at 70%, with a slight dip to 73% in the last month. Despite their strong performance, they are on a win streak of zero, having lost to The MongolZ in their most recent match. Vitality’s recent tournament performances include a semifinal exit at the Esports World Cup 2025, where they lost 1-2 to The MongolZ. They previously secured victories against TYLOO and Liquid in the same tournament. In the BLAST Bounty Fall 2025, they finished 3-4th, earning $25,625. Over the last six months, Vitality has amassed $1,230,625, placing them at the top of the earnings ranking.
Falcons, ranked 7th globally, have had a mixed run with a win rate of 56% over the recent half-year and 50% in the last month. They, too, are on a win streak of zero, having suffered a defeat against Aurora in their latest encounter. Falcons’ journey in the Esports World Cup 2025 saw them reaching the semifinals, where they were defeated by Aurora. However, they managed to overcome MOUZ and G2 in the earlier rounds. At the Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2025, Falcons finished 9-12th, earning $16,000. Their earnings over the past six months total $397,000, ranking them 5th in earnings among top teams.
Teams’ Map Pool
The potential map veto for the upcoming match is intriguing. Vitality is likely to ban Ancient first, while Falcons will probably ban Anubis. Vitality’s first pick is expected to be Dust2, a map where they have a strong 90% win rate over 20 matches. Falcons might respond by picking Mirage, where they have a 59% win rate over 17 matches. The decider map could be Inferno, where Vitality holds an 83% win rate compared to Falcons’ 33%.
| Map | Vitality Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Vitality) | Falcons Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Falcons) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overpass | 100% | 1 | 1 | W | 0% | 0 | 6 | FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Ancient | 0% | 0 | 39 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 72% | 18 | 6 | W, L, W, W, W |
| Inferno | 83% | 23 | 5 | W, W, W, L, W | 33% | 18 | 14 | W, W, L, L, L |
| Dust II | 90% | 20 | 4 | W, W, W, W, W | 48% | 21 | 5 | L, L, L, L, L |
| Train | 83% | 12 | 4 | W, W, W, L, W | 47% | 15 | 6 | W, FB, W, W, W |
| Nuke | 78% | 18 | 6 | W, W, W, W, W | 53% | 19 | 4 | L, W, L, W, W |
| Mirage | 65% | 23 | 9 | L, W, W, L, W | 61% | 18 | 4 | L, W, W, L, L |
Head-to-Head
Vitality has a dominant record against Falcons, winning all their last five encounters. Their most recent meeting on May 24, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for Vitality. Historically, Vitality has shown a preference for picking Dust2 and Inferno, while Falcons often opt for Mirage and Dust2. In previous matches, Vitality’s strategic map picks and bans have consistently given them an edge over Falcons.
Match Prediction
Considering the current form, map statistics, and head-to-head history, Vitality is the favorite to win this match. With a 73% win probability and a robust map pool, they are well-positioned to secure a 2-0 victory over Falcons. Falcons will need to bring their A-game and possibly surprise Vitality with unexpected strategies to turn the tide in their favor.
Prediction: Vitality 2:0 Falcons
Esports World Cup 2025 takes place from August 20 to August 24 in Saudi Arabia, featuring a prize pool of $1,250,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the tournament link.
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