The MongolZ and FURIA are set to clash on May 10, 2025, at 11:00 CEST in the PGL Astana 2025 Group Stage. This best-of-3 series promises to be an intense encounter as both teams aim to advance in the tournament. The match will be part of the Swiss format group stage, and we have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Match Details.
Current form of the teams
The MongolZ, currently ranked 6th in the world rankings, have shown solid performances in recent tournaments. Over the past year, they boast a win rate of 67%, slightly dipping to 66% over the last six months. Their recent month has been challenging with a win rate of 50%. The MongolZ have earned $263,125 in the past six months, placing them 7th in earnings among their peers.
Their recent performances include a 3-4th place finish at the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne 2025, where they secured victories against teams like Liquid and FaZe but fell to top-ranked teams such as Vitality and MOUZ. Notably, they defeated Complexity in the upper bracket quarterfinals. Despite a mixed bag of results, their form remains competitive. The MongolZ Team Page.
On the other hand, FURIA, ranked 20th globally, has been struggling to find consistent form. Their overall win rate stands at 57%, but it has decreased to 47% over the past six months. In the recent PGL Bucharest 2025, FURIA finished 12-14th, managing only one win against Apogee but suffering losses against The MongolZ, Virtus.pro, and Complexity. Their earnings over the last six months amount to $54,875, ranking them 32nd in terms of financial success. FURIA Team Page.
Teams’ Map Pool
The predicted map veto suggests The MongolZ will initially ban Train, a map they rarely pick and often ban. FURIA is expected to ban Ancient, which aligns with their high ban rate on this map. The MongolZ may opt to pick Mirage, where they have a solid win rate of 60% over 20 matches. FURIA might respond by picking Nuke, despite a lower win rate of 29%, perhaps to catch The MongolZ off guard. The decider map is anticipated to be Anubis, where both teams have moderate win rates.
| Map | The MongolZ Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (The MongolZ) | FURIA Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (FURIA) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 67% | 21 | 0 | L, L, W, W, W | 0% | 0 | 32 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Train | 0% | 0 | 25 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 40% | 5 | 4 | W, L, W, L, L |
| Inferno | 73% | 11 | 3 | W, W, L, W, W | 38% | 13 | 8 | L, W, W, L, L |
| Mirage | 60% | 20 | 1 | W, W, W, L, L | 40% | 15 | 8 | L, L, L, W, L |
| Anubis | 58% | 12 | 7 | W, L, W, L, L | 43% | 14 | 11 | W, L, W, L, L |
| Dust II | 50% | 10 | 13 | W, L, L, L, W | 63% | 19 | 4 | L, W, W, W, L |
| Nuke | 33% | 9 | 17 | W, L, W, L, L | 29% | 7 | 7 | L, W, L, L, L |
Head-to-Head
In their last meeting at PGL Bucharest 2025, The MongolZ won 2-0. Historically, The MongolZ have a 75% win rate against FURIA, which indicates their psychological advantage.
Prediction
Despite The MongolZ’s recent dominance over FURIA, the prediction leans towards a 2-0 victory for FURIA. This prediction is likely based on FURIA’s potential to adapt and exploit The MongolZ’s recent inconsistencies, especially if they can capitalize on map picks like Nuke. However, The MongolZ’s strong historical performance against FURIA suggests they will not go down easily.
Prediction: The MongolZ 0:2 FURIA
Odds are taken from Stake and are current at the time of publication.
PGL Astana 2025 takes place from May 10 to May 18 in Kazakhstan, featuring a prize pool of $625,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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