On June 20, 2025, at 18:00 UTC, Natus Vincere will face off against Vitality in a best-of-3 series during the playoffs of the BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Follow the match here.

Current form of the teams

Natus Vincere, currently ranked 8th in the world according to the Valve rankings, has shown a steady performance with a recent win streak of one match. Over the last month, their win rate has been impressive at 75%, demonstrating their capability to adapt and perform under pressure. However, their overall win rate for the past half year stands at 63%. In recent tournaments, Natus Vincere reached the playoffs of the PGL Astana 2025, securing a 5-8th place finish with earnings of $31,250. Their recent matches at the BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 have been a mixed bag, with a notable win against G2 but a loss to Spirit. Their earnings over the last six months amount to $178,750, placing them 11th in the earnings ranking.

Despite NAVI not being in the best shape, they started the tournament with a 2-0 result and lost to Spirit 3-0, then defeated G2, whom many considered underdogs, with a score of 2-1, fighting hard on every map and playing extra rounds on the last one. However, NAVI's performance in the Major playoffs could repeat their success at the PGL Major Copenhagen 2024, as well as the magical story of T1 from LOL, who may not show anything all season but end up in the flow at the main tournament of the year, thus winning it, just like NAVI did at Copenhagen 2024. The match against Vitality will show.

Vitality, on the other hand, is sitting at the top of the world rankings, ranked 1st. Their recent form is formidable, with a win streak of three matches and a staggering win rate of 95% over the past half year. Vitality’s performance in the recent Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 was exceptional, where they claimed the 1st place and pocketed $125,000. At the BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025, they have continued their dominant form, defeating teams like Virtus.pro and 3DMAX. Their earnings over the last six months have reached a remarkable $1,028,750, securing the top position in the earnings ranking.

Vitality was still in great form, but due to the tournament's format and their late arrival, combined with Legacy's momentum, they lost a Best-of-One (Bo1) match. However, Vitality went on to win the series 3-1.

Teams’ Map Pool

The map veto for this match is predicted to follow a strategic pattern. Natus Vincere is expected to first ban Dust2, a map where they have struggled with a win rate of 40% over the last six months. Vitality is likely to ban Ancient, a map they have consistently avoided, with a 100% ban rate. Natus Vincere may opt to pick Mirage, a map they are comfortable on, with a 75% win rate. Vitality is anticipated to pick Nuke, where they boast an 82% win rate. The decider is predicted to be Train, a map where both teams have shown decent performances.

Match Prediction

Based on the current form, past performances, and map statistics, Vitality is heavily favored to win this match with a predicted score of 2-0. Their superior win rates and dominant head-to-head record against Natus Vincere make them the likely victors in this playoff encounter.

Prediction: Natus Vincere 0:2 Vitality

BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 takes place from June 12 to June 22 in the United States, featuring a prize pool of $1,250,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.