The grand final of the BLAST Open Spring 2025 promises to be a spectacular conclusion to the tournament. MOUZ and Vitality have traveled a long road, showcasing consistent gameplay and impressive results. Vitality appear to be the favorites, but MOUZ have repeatedly proven they can deliver surprises. Let's analyze the teams' form ahead of this decisive showdown.

Current Form of the Teams

MOUZ

MOUZ's average rating at S-tier events over the past month is 6.1. The team has shown stable results, participating in the ESL Pro League Season 21, where they advanced to the playoffs with a 3-1 record but lost in the grand final. At BLAST Open Spring 2025, they also reached the decisive match, winning two games but losing in the upper bracket final. MOUZ are in good form, having won 4 out of their last 5 matches. They defeated teams like Eternal Fire, G2, Spirit, and Falcons. However, the loss in this stretch came against their current opponent, Vitality.

Vitality

Vitality's average rating at S-tier events over the past month is 6.5. The team looks extremely confident: at ESL Pro League Season 21, they advanced to the playoffs without a single loss (3-0) and won the final. At BLAST Open Spring 2025, Vitality reached the playoffs through the upper bracket, won the final, and started the playoffs directly from the semifinals, confidently reaching the grand final. Vitality have won all their last 5 matches. They have been stronger than Spirit, MOUZ, Virtus.pro, Astralis, and again MOUZ, indicating a clear advantage in head-to-head encounters.

Team Map Pool

MOUZ will likely ban Anubis again, as they often do. In response, Vitality will probably remove Ancient, as is their custom. For the first maps, MOUZ will choose Nuke, where they show the best results, while Vitality will likely opt for Dust II, where they have an impressive win rate. MOUZ's second choice could be Inferno, as this map appears frequently for them, while Vitality will prefer Mirage, where their win rate is significantly higher than their opponent's. The deciding map will likely be Train, which MOUZ and Vitality have played rarely but have shown excellent results on.

Head-to-Head Matches

In the past six months, the teams have faced each other five times. The last four matches have gone to Vitality, with them winning without dropping a single map. Five days ago, Vitality won 2:0, 13 days ago they crushed MOUZ 3:0, 20 days ago they again prevailed 2:0. Four months ago, the meeting ended with the same score in favor of Vitality. MOUZ's only victory in this stretch was 5 months ago, when they won 2:1.

Match Prediction

Vitality appear to be the favorites for the match. They are in better form, have a higher rating, and have won all recent head-to-head encounters, not losing a single map in the last 4 matches. MOUZ, while demonstrating a commendable level of play, have yet to find the key to victory over Vitality this season.

Prediction: Vitality wins 3:1

BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 takes place from March 19 to 30. The playoffs are held at the MEO Arena in Lisbon. Participants are competing for $400,000. You can follow the results and the tournament's progress via this link.