The MongolZ vs G2 Match Prediction and Analysis - BLAST Open Spring 2025

The match between The MongolZ and G2 in the lower bracket of BLAST Open Spring 2025 will be crucial for both teams, as a defeat will mean elimination from the tournament. Over the past six months, the teams have met twice, and both times, The MongolZ proved to be stronger. However, the Bo3 format leaves room for the fight on three maps, which increases the chances of intrigue in the match.

Current form of the teams

The MongolZ

The MongolZ have been showing good form lately, taking 3-4 place at ESL Pro League Season 21 and 5-8 place at PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025. Recent victories over M80 (2:1) and Liquid (2:0) show their ability to play well in crucial moments, but the loss to Vitality (1-2) indicates some instability.

Date 
Team 
Score 
Opponent
March 23
The MongolZ
2 - 0
Liquid
March 22
The MongolZ
1 - 2
NAVI
March 20
The MongolZ
2 - 1
M80
March 15
The MongolZ
1 - 2
Vitality
March 14
The MongolZ
2 - 0
NAVI

G2

G2 also showed mixed results in recent tournaments. The team took 5-8th place at ESL Pro League Season 21 and 9-12th place at IEM Katowice 2025. The victories over M80 (2:0) and Eternal Fire (2:1) give hope for success, but the defeat by MOUZ (1-2) shows some gaps in the strategy.

Date 
Team  
Score 
Opponent
March 23
G2 
2 - 0 
M80
March 22
G2 
0 - 2
Eternal Fire
March 20
G2 
2 - 1
Imperial
March 13
G2 
1 - 2
MOUZ
March 11
G2 
2 - 0 
GamerLegion

Map Pool

The MongolZ have a fairly strong Anubis (75% WR) and Ancient (63% WR) map, which allows them to compete confidently on these maps. However, the weak Nuke (43% WR) can be a problem if chosen by G2.

G2 play well on Dust II (71% WR) and Mirage (68% WR), which gives them an advantage on these maps. At the same time, a weak result on Ancient (38% WR) can give MongolZ a chance to tactically use map selection.

Map 
The MongolZ WR
M
B
Last 5 matches (The MongolZ)
G2 WR 
M
B
Last 5 matches (G2)
Ancient 
63%
19
0
L, W, W, L, W
38%
16
7
L, W, L, L, W
Anubis 
75%
12
8
FB, W, L, L, W
50%
8
16
FB, W, L, FB, L
Nuke 
43%
7
16
L, L, W, L, W
60%
10
4
L, W, W, W, L
Inferno 
77%
13
3
L, W, L, W, W
67%
15
6
W, W, W, L, W
Mirage 
62%
21
1
L, W, W, W, L
68%
19
6
L, W, L, L, W
Dust II 
67%
12
13
W, L, W, W, L
71%
17
3
W, W, L, L, W
Train 
0%
0
16
-
0%
0
12
-

Match Prediction

Given the instability of both teams, we can expect three maps in the match. The MongolZ will have an advantage on Anubis and Ancient, while G2 will probably choose Dust II or Inferno. The MongolZ still seem to be the favorite of the match due to their more stable results on key maps. The expected result is a 2-1 victory for The MongolZ.

Prediction: The MongolZ 2-1

BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 takes place from March 19 to 30. The group stage will be held at the BLAST studio in Copenhagen, and the playoffs will be at the MEO arena in Lisbon, Portugal. For more details on the results and progress of the tournament, follow this link.

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