- leef
Predictions
21:17, 28.03.2025
In the semifinals of BLAST Open Spring 2025, we anticipate an intense showdown between Eternal Fire and MOUZ—two teams that have confidently advanced through the tournament stages. Eternal Fire is a team that grinds through many tournaments, while MOUZ is a young team showing excellent play under a new captain. In this article, we'll examine the teams' form, analyze the map pool, and provide a prediction for the match outcome.
Current Form of the Teams
Eternal Fire approaches the semifinal match of BLAST Open Spring 2025 in good form. The team's average rating over the past month is 6.2, reflecting their steady progress. At PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 and ESL Pro League Season 21, the Turkish team reached the quarterfinals, demonstrating confident play. Notably, their performance in the current tournament, where they've already defeated heavyweights like G2 and NAVI, stands out. The team's internal synergy is one of the key factors in their success.
| Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24 | Eternal Fire | 2 - 0 | Natus Vincere |
| Mar 22 | Eternal Fire | 2 - 0 | G2 |
| Mar 20 | Eternal Fire | 2 - 0 | Liquid |
| Mar 13 | Eternal Fire | 1 - 2 | Spirit |
| Mar 11 | Eternal Fire | 2 - 1 | Falcons |
MOUZ is also in good form, with an average rating of 6.1 for the month. The team consistently performs at major tournaments: they reached the grand final at ESL Pro League Season 21, losing only in the decisive match. In BLAST Open Spring 2025, MOUZ started with wins but suffered a loss in the upper bracket final, forcing them to play in the quarterfinals. Nonetheless, the team remains one of the favorites.
| Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28 | MOUZ | 2 - 0 | G2 |
| Mar 24 | MOUZ | 0 - 2 | Vitality |
| Mar 21 | MOUZ | 2 - 1 | Spirit |
| Mar 19 | MOUZ | 2 - 0 | Falcons |
| Mar 16 | MOUZ | 0 - 3 | Vitality |
Map Pool
Eternal Fire shows excellent results on Anubis (75% wins over 20 maps) and Nuke (71% over 14 maps)—they play especially confidently on these in recent matches. Dust2 (60%) and Mirage (58%) also yield positive results. Inferno looks neutral with a 50% win rate, Train is unstable (40%), and Ancient is entirely excluded from the map pool—the team hasn't played it once in the past six months.
For MOUZ, Train is the priority map—three wins out of three. Nuke (75% win rate over 24 maps) and Ancient (67% over 15 maps) also remain strong points. The team shows average performance on Inferno (53%) and Dust2 (47%). Mirage is still a weak spot with 40% wins, and Anubis is consistently banned—38 consecutive games without a single appearance.
| Map | Eternal Fire Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Eternal Fire) | MOUZ Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (MOUZ) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anubis | 75% | 20 | 1 | L, W, W, W, W | 0% | 0 | 38 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Ancient | 0% | 0 | 34 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 67% | 15 | 8 | W, W, L, W, W |
| Train | 40% | 5 | 7 | W, W, L, L, L | 100% | 3 | 3 | W, W, W |
| Mirage | 58% | 12 | 13 | W, W, L, W, L | 40% | 20 | 4 | L, W, L, W, L |
| Dust II | 60% | 15 | 6 | W, W, W, W, W | 47% | 15 | 14 | L, L, L, L, W |
| Nuke | 71% | 14 | 11 | W, W, W, W, W | 75% | 24 | 2 | W, W, W, W, W |
| Inferno | 50% | 20 | 2 | L, W, W, W, W | 53% | 17 | 5 | W, L, L, L, L |
Match Prediction
Both teams approach the semifinals in excellent form but with different play styles and tournament histories. Eternal Fire has already proven they can handle the strongest teams—their victories over G2 and NAVI confirm this. The team appears cohesive, confident, and driven for results. It's important to note that EF's current peak form is one of their best in recent months.
MOUZ, despite their high stability and strong performance at ESL Pro League, have already slipped in this tournament, losing in the upper bracket final. This might affect the team's psychological state, especially against the backdrop of Eternal Fire's confident and emotional momentum.
Considering current form, motivation, and game dynamics, Eternal Fire looks like the favorite. They beat the strongest and play aggressively, maintaining initiative. MOUZ, on the other hand, is slightly more cautious and doesn't always handle active pressure well.
Prediction: Eternal Fire wins 2-1
BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 takes place from March 19 to 30. The playoffs are held at the MEO Arena in Lisbon. Participants compete for $400,000. You can follow the results and progress of the tournament via the link.
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