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BIG vs G2 Match Prediction and Analysis - PGL Astana 2025 Group Stage
On May 13, 2025, at 08:00 UTC, the esports community will witness a thrilling best-of-3 series between BIG and G2 in the PGL Astana 2025 Group Stage. This tournament, held in Kazakhstan, is part of the prestigious S-Tier events with a significant prize pool of $625,000. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Follow the match here.
Current form of the teams
BIG, currently ranked 23rd in the world, is experiencing a challenging phase. Their overall win rate stands at 53% over the last half year, but it has dipped to 43% in the recent month. Their recent performance in the PGL Astana 2025 has been inconsistent, with a single win against Aurora and losses to Virtus.pro and Natus Vincere.
Previously, they secured a second-place finish at the MESA Nomadic Masters: Spring 2025, earning $60,000. Their recent matches indicate a lack of momentum, as they have a win streak of zero. Over the last six months, BIG has earned $138,750, placing them 13th in earnings among teams.
In contrast, G2, ranked 5th globally, boasts a strong overall win rate of 62% in the last half year, although their performance has dipped to 25% in the last month. In the PGL Astana 2025, they bounced back with a win against M80 after losses to ODDIK and MIBR. G2 also recently finished second at the PGL Bucharest 2025, earning $93,750. They have a current win streak of one match and have amassed $245,250 in the last six months, ranking them 9th in earnings.
Teams’ Map Pool
The map veto for this match is expected to be strategic, with BIG likely banning Anubis first, while G2 will ban Train. BIG is anticipated to pick Ancient, where they have a decent win rate of 53% over the last six months, while G2 might opt for Dust2, a map they excel on with an 81% win rate. The decider map is predicted to be Inferno, where both teams have moderate win rates of 35% for BIG and 71% for G2.
| Map | BIG Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (BIG) | G2 Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (G2) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Train | 67% | 6 | 13 | W, W, W, W, L | 0% | 0 | 21 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Inferno | 35% | 17 | 15 | W, L, W, W, L | 71% | 14 | 5 | W, W, L, W, W |
| Dust II | 47% | 19 | 4 | L, W, W, L, W | 81% | 16 | 3 | W, W, L, W, W |
| Nuke | 58% | 12 | 12 | W, W, L, FB, FB | 43% | 14 | 4 | L, L, L, L, L |
| Mirage | 48% | 31 | 6 | W, W, W, L, L | 62% | 13 | 6 | FB, FB, W, L, L |
| Ancient | 53% | 38 | 1 | L, L, W, L, W | 47% | 19 | 7 | L, W, L, W, L |
| Anubis | 33% | 3 | 32 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 38% | 8 | 15 | L, L, W, L, L |
Head-to-Head
In previous encounters, G2 has dominated BIG, winning all five of their last meetings. The latest match on January 19, 2025, saw G2 triumphing with a 2-1 scoreline. Historically, G2 has shown superior map control and strategic prowess against BIG, with a head-to-head win rate of 69%. These past performances give G2 a psychological edge heading into this match.
Prediction
Considering the current form and historical data, G2 is favored to win this match with a predicted score of 2-0. Their higher win rate, stronger recent performances, and historical dominance over BIG suggest that they will likely emerge victorious. BIG will need to overcome their recent struggles and leverage their map pool strengths to challenge G2 effectively.
Prediction: BIG 0:2 G2
Odds are taken from Stake and are current at the time of publication.
PGL Astana 2025 takes place from May 10 to May 18 in Kazakhstan, featuring a prize pool of $625,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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