On August 15th, 2025, at 14:00 UTC, Team Vitality will face off against Team Liquid in a best-of-3 series at the BLAST Bounty Fall 2025. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Check out the match details here.
Current form of the teams
Team Vitality, currently ranked #1 in the world, has shown a dominant form recently. With a win streak of two matches, they boast an impressive overall win rate of 70% over the last year, which rises to 95% in the past six months and 83% in the last month. Vitality’s recent performance includes a 3-4th place finish at the Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2025, earning them $80,000.
However, their recent losses against VP.Prodigy, FaZe, and MOUZ at the Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2025 have highlighted their vulnerabilities. Liquid’s earnings over the last six months amount to $79,250, placing them in the 28th position globally.
Teams’ Map Pool
The map veto for this match is likely to see Vitality banning Ancient first, while Liquid will ban Nuke. Vitality is expected to pick Dust2, a map where they have an 89% win rate over the past six months. Liquid might opt for Mirage, despite a lower win rate of 27%, as it is one of their more frequently picked maps. The remaining maps will see Vitality banning Anubis and Liquid banning Inferno, leaving Train as the decider. Vitality’s strong map pool, particularly on Dust2 and Inferno, gives them a tactical edge.
| Map | Vitality Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Vitality) | Liquid Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Liquid) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overpass | 100% | 1 | 1 | W | 0% | 0 | 5 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Nuke | 80% | 15 | 5 | L, W, L, W, W | 22% | 9 | 12 | L, W, L, L, L |
| Inferno | 86% | 21 | 4 | L, L, W, W, W | 36% | 11 | 7 | L, L, L, W, L |
| Dust II | 89% | 18 | 4 | W, W, W, W, W | 43% | 14 | 5 | L, W, L, W, L |
| Ancient | 0% | 0 | 35 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 46% | 13 | 3 | W, L, W, L, W |
| Mirage | 70% | 20 | 8 | W, L, W, W, L | 27% | 11 | 11 | L, W, L, L, L |
| Train | 82% | 11 | 3 | W, W, L, W, L | 60% | 5 | 15 | FB, FB, W, W, W |
Head-to-Head
Historically, Vitality has dominated Liquid in their recent encounters, winning all five of their last meetings. The most recent match on April 22, 2025, ended with a decisive 2-0 victory for Vitality. This trend suggests a psychological advantage for Vitality, as they have consistently outperformed Liquid in map picks and strategies. Vitality’s strategic map bans and picks have consistently neutralized Liquid’s strengths, further cementing their upper hand in head-to-head matchups.
Prediction
Given the current form, historical performance, and map pool strength, Vitality is heavily favored to win this match with a predicted score of 2:0. Their superior win rates, both overall and in specific maps, coupled with a robust recent performance, make them the likely victors. Liquid will need to overcome significant strategic and form-related hurdles to challenge Vitality in this series.
Prediction: Vitality 2:0 Liquid
BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 takes place from August 14 to August 17 in Malta, featuring a prize pool of $500,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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