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People have long sought to combine the thrill of testing their luck with the opportunity to earn money, giving rise to gambling. What started as a simple game of "guess which hand holds the pebble" has evolved into a vast "library of excitement" encompassing a variety of games. Among them is the seemingly simple yet captivating game of Plinko, which has become one of the most recognizable on Stake.
The concept of the game is inspired by a classic television game, reimagined for the world of crypto-gambling. Its minimalist yet appealing design and quick mechanics are just part of its allure. But what exactly lies behind this game? In this review, we will explore how Plinko works, its pros and cons, and the odds of winning.
As mentioned, Plinko is a digital version of the classic game where players watch a ball drop through a grid of pegs, bouncing randomly and eventually landing in one of the slots with a specific win multiplier, depending on the game's settings.
Before starting, players can choose the risk level (win multiplier) — low, medium, or high — as well as the number of rows the ball will fall through. Plinko on Stake supports between 8 and 16 rows.
Winnings depend on the multiplier of the slot where the ball lands and the initial bet: the highest multipliers are usually located in the outer slots, while the smaller ones are closer to the center.
One of the reasons for Plinko's popularity is its simplicity. There are no unnecessary visual effects or overloaded interfaces — everything looks concise yet high-quality.
After that, you press the green "Bet" or "Auto Bet" button and watch for a while to see where the ball lands to determine the result. It's the anticipation and randomness that create the tension, fueling the excitement and the desire to keep playing in hopes of hitting a bigger multiplier next time.
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As mentioned, Plinko allows you to adjust the risk level, which corresponds to the win multiplier and correlates with the number of rows. At low risk, most drops result in minor losses or small wins. The maximum multipliers here aren't very high but are rewarding if you win. A multiplier below x1 is a loss for the player.
If you choose high risk, you might lose more often, but the winnings — if you're lucky — can far exceed the bet, as multipliers can reach up to x100 or even x1000.
Number of Rows | Low Risk | Medium Risk | High Risk |
8 | 0.50x – 5.60x | 0.40x – 13.00x | 0.20x – 29.00x |
9 | 0.70x – 5.60x | 0.50x – 18.00x | 0.20x – 43.00x |
10 | 0.50x – 8.90x | 0.40x – 22.00x | 0.20x – 76.00x |
11 | 0.70x – 8.40x | 0.50x – 24.00x | 0.20x – 120.00x |
12 | 0.50x – 10.00x | 0.30x – 33.00x | 0.20x – 170.00x |
13 | 0.70x – 8.10x | 0.40x – 43.00x | 0.20x – 260.00x |
14 | 0.50x – 7.10x | 0.20x – 58.00x | 0.20x – 420.00x |
15 | 0.70x – 15.00x | 0.30x – 88.00x | 0.20x – 620.00x |
16 | 0.50x – 16.00x | 0.50x – 110.00x | 0.20x – 1000.00x |
This flexibility is both an advantage and a trap, especially for overly enthusiastic players or newcomers. They often chase big wins without understanding how rarely they occur. Even with high risk, the house edge doesn't disappear — you're just trading steady small losses for a chance at a miracle.
In Plinko, the house edge is about 1% — a standard for crypto casinos. For comparison, in American roulette, this figure is 5.26%.
However, even a one percent edge will inevitably lead to losses over prolonged play if you don't approach the process with a cool head. To determine the odds of winning in Plinko on Stake.com, it's worth applying binomial distribution calculations, as gambling is primarily about math and probability theory.
This distribution considers the number of rows on the board (e.g., 8 or 16), the probability of the ball falling left or right (50/50), and the multipliers in each of the nine slots. Payouts in the game are uneven: the middle slots offer the smallest multipliers (due to the highest probability of landing), while the outer ones have the largest, but the chance of landing there is negligible. For example, the probability of landing in a slot with a 5.6x multiplier on the far left edge with 8 rows is only 0.39%, or 1 in 256 attempts.
After calculating the expected value for each slot and summing them up, the actual house edge on an 8-row board with low risk was 1.02%. In medium risk mode, it was 1.09%, and in high risk, 0.94%. With 16 rows, these values barely changed, remaining within 1.00–1.02%. Thus, Stake truly doesn't manipulate the game — all calculations confirm the declared edge of about 1%.
Stake positions its Plinko game as Provably fair, meaning each result's fairness can be verified using cryptographic algorithms. You can view the hashes and seeds of each round to ensure the casino hasn't interfered with the outcome — just click the Fairness button in the lower left corner of the game window.
But "fair" in this context doesn't mean "advantageous for the player." It merely guarantees that the game operates under transparent rules, not that you will win more often. As with any gambling, the math is always in favor of the house.
Therefore, always remember: gambling is not a way to make money, but a chance to get a rush of endorphins and perhaps euphoria from a win if your bet pays off! However, it's essential to set personal limits — whether in terms of money or the number of bets — before it becomes a problem for your wallet.
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