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22:36, 21.05.2025
On May 22, 2025, at 13:00 UTC, Xtreme Gaming will face off against Nigma Galaxy in the DreamLeague Season 26 Stage 1 — Group A. The match will be played in a best-of-2 format. We have analyzed the statistics and current form of the teams to provide a forecast for this showdown.
The Chinese team Xtreme Gaming is experiencing a noticeable decline. With an overall win rate of 58% over the past six months, they have only won 1 out of their last 5 matches. Their performance in the current tournament is particularly disappointing — the team is in 7th place in Group A and has already lost their chance to advance. Their failure in DreamLeague Season 26 led the organization to withdraw from the EWC 2025, which may negatively impact the team's morale.
The European team, on the other hand, is showing signs of recovery after a series of setbacks. Their overall win rate for the past six months is 49%, but they have been looking confident in recent matches. A victory over OG and a draw with Team Spirit demonstrate that the team is capable of challenging even top-tier rosters. There is a sense of confidence within the team, and their current form allows them to aim for a positive result.
In professional Dota 2, smart hero selection plays a crucial role in crafting a successful strategy. The current meta significantly influences picks, determining play styles and tactical decisions of the teams.
Hero | Picks | Winrate |
Sand King | 12 | 50.00% |
Ancient Apparition | 9 | 77.78% |
Monkey King | 9 | 55.56% |
Tiny | 9 | 44.44% |
Centaur Warrunner | 9 | 77.78% |
Hero | Picks | Winrate |
Tusk | 8 | 87.50% |
Doom | 5 | 80.00% |
Morphling | 4 | 75.00% |
Elder Titan | 4 | 75.00% |
Ancient Apparition | 3 | 10.00% |
Bans are equally important — teams aim to eliminate the most dangerous and consistent heroes of their opponents. Current trends show that priority is given to banning key meta characters, allowing for a tactical advantage right from the draft phase.
Hero | Bans |
Bristleback | 26 |
Dark Seer | 18 |
Keeper of the Light | 16 |
Tinker | 15 |
Beastmaster | 11 |
Hero | Bans |
Dark Seer | 9 |
Beastmaster | 7 |
Tiny | 7 |
Templar Assassin | 6 |
Enigma | 6 |
Xtreme Gaming and Nigma Galaxy have faced each other twice in recent months. The first encounter took place in February 2025 and ended with a 1:0 victory for Nigma Galaxy. However, in March, Xtreme Gaming took a convincing revenge, winning the series 2:0. Thus, the teams are currently even in head-to-head matchups. Xtreme's confident victory in the second meeting may indicate that the team has adapted to their opponent's style and found effective tactical solutions against Nigma Galaxy.
Considering Xtreme Gaming's current form and internal crisis, their chances of a confident victory are slim. Nigma Galaxy, on the other hand, has gained form and looks much more stable. The Chinese team might hold on for a draw if they perform at their peak, but the motivational backdrop and internal atmosphere are clearly not in their favor.
Prediction: victory for Xtreme Gaming 2:0
Match odds:
Odds provided by Stake and are current at the time of publication.
DreamLeague Season 26 will take place from May 19 to June 1, 2025, with a prize pool of $1,000,000. You can follow news, schedules, and results of the tournament on the DreamLeague Season 26 page.
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