On November 26th at 15:00 UTC, Tundra Esports will face off against Natus Vincere in a best-of-1 series as part of the BLAST Slam V Group Stage. Both teams opened the event with mixed results, and a single-map matchup adds volatility to the outcome. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match result. Match details can be found here.

Current form of the teams

Tundra Esports

Tundra Esports come in with a two-match winstreak at BLAST Slam V, beating Execration and Team Yandex in clean 1-0s on November 25th. Across broader samples, their form holds up: overall win rate sits at 59%, with 65% over the last 12 months and 58% across the last 6 months, and a slightly cooler 54% in the last month. The recent PGL Wallachia Season 6 run ended 7-8th, with $40,000 earned, after losses to Team Liquid and BetBoom, but notably Tundra swept NAVI 2-0 there on November 19th. Over the last half-year, Tundra have accrued $838,270 in prize money, underscoring consistent deep runs at tier‑S events.

Natus Vincere

Natus Vincere recent form is more uneven. They opened BLAST Slam V with a win over Team Tidebound and a 1-0 over Team Yandex, but fell to MOUZ later that day. Their broader numbers are respectable yet less convincing than Tundra’s: overall win rate of 55%, 58% across the last 12 months, and 57% over the last 6 months. At PGL Wallachia Season 6, NAVI exited 9-11th with $20,000 after losses to Tundra (0-2 on November 19th) and MOUZ, again reflecting difficulty closing out against teams in better form. Their recent half‑year earnings total $211,845.

Head-to-Head Encounters

The matchup trend is clearly tilted toward Tundra in 2025. Tundra lead the year’s series 4-1, including a 2-0 win on November 19th, a 1-0 in October, and a 2-1 in September; NAVI’s lone success was a 2-0 back in late June. The embedded team H2H indicators align with this: Tundra’s H2H win rate shows 88% overall, while NAVI’s reflects just 13%. In a best-of-1, individual draft edges can swing outcomes, but recent head-to-head results indicate that Tundra repeatedly found winning openings against NAVI’s preferred structures.

Match Prediction

Given the current form and historical data, Tundra Esports are positioned as clear favorites. Their short-term uptick at BLAST Slam V, higher long‑horizon win rates over the last 12 months and half-year, superior earnings indicative of deeper finishes, and decisive 2-0 victory over NAVI one week ago all support a Tundra edge even in a volatile best-of-1. For NAVI, quick-draft comfort and early tempo could produce an upset path, but they will need to avoid the laning disadvantages and mid-game map pressure that Tundra leveraged in their recent series.

Prediction: Tundra Esports 1:0 Natus Vincere

BLAST Slam V takes place from November 25th to December 7th, featuring a prize pool of $1,000,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the official tournament page.