On May 10, 2025, at 11:00 CEST, G2 will face off against MIBR in the PGL Astana 2025 Group Stage. This match, part of the prestigious tournament held in Kazakhstan, will be a best-of-3 series. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Watch the match here.
Current form of the teams
G2, currently ranked 5th in the world (see rankings), has demonstrated strong form recently. Over the last year, they boast a win rate of 69%, with a slightly lower rate of 65% over the past six months. In the last month, their win rate stands at 67%. G2 has had a successful run in recent tournaments, notably finishing 2nd at the PGL Bucharest 2025, securing $93,750 in prize money. Their recent matches include a loss in the grand final against Falcons but victories over Complexity and Virtus.pro. G2’s recent half-year earnings amount to $245,250, placing them 9th in earnings rankings.
MIBR, ranked 22nd globally, has had a challenging period with a recent win rate of 33% over the last month. Their performance over the past year has been moderate, with a 50% win rate. MIBR’s recent tournament showing at the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne 2025 saw them finish 9-12th, earning $5,000. Their recent matches include a loss to Liquid and a victory over SAW. MIBR’s earnings over the last six months total $56,750, ranking them 30th.
Teams’ Map Pool
The predicted map veto scenario suggests G2 will first ban Train, while MIBR will ban Dust2. G2 is expected to pick Inferno, a map where they have a 69% win rate over the past six months. MIBR is likely to pick Anubis, where they hold a 43% win rate. The decider map is anticipated to be Ancient.
| Map | G2 Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (G2) | MIBR Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (MIBR) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dust II | 79% | 14 | 3 | W, W, W, W, W | 0% | 0 | 23 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Inferno | 69% | 13 | 5 | W, L, L, W, W | 38% | 16 | 8 | L, L, L, L, W |
| Mirage | 62% | 13 | 6 | W, FB, W, W, L | 42% | 12 | 7 | L, W, L, W, W |
| Anubis | 50% | 6 | 14 | L, FB, L, L, L | 46% | 13 | 1 | W, W, L, W, W |
| Ancient | 47% | 17 | 6 | W, W, W, L, L | 44% | 9 | 5 | L, L, L, FB, FB |
| Nuke | 50% | 12 | 4 | W, W, L, L, W | 50% | 14 | 3 | L, L, L, W, W |
| Train | 0% | 0 | 19 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 0% | 2 | 6 | L, L |
Prediction
Given G2's better form, higher world ranking, and historical dominance over MIBR, it was likely that G2 would win 2-0. But with the fact that there will be a substitution in this match - TAZ will replace Hunter - the chances of G2 winning have plummeted. Even G2's strong performance on cards such as Inferno and their veto power over strategic cards won't help, as they have lost a key player.
Prediction: G2 1:2 MIBR
Odds are taken from Stake and are current at the time of publication.
PGL Astana 2025 takes place from May 10 to May 18 in Kazakhstan, featuring a prize pool of $625,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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