Representatives of the APAC region - Japanese team CAG Osaka and Korean team FEARX - will meet at the prestigious RE:LO:AD 2025 tournament in Rio de Janeiro. The match will be held in the Bo3 format as part of the first group stage of the unique Reload to Survive system. Both teams are striving to gain a foothold in the top 8 to reach the playoffs and compete for a share of the $520,000 prize pool. Despite the same statistics of the last games, the Japanese have an advantage in head-to-head meetings. But will they be able to repeat their success in this match?
Current form of the teams
CAG Osaka approached the tournament with an unstable form: three defeats in the last five matches (against FaZe, Shopify, and Unwanted), but also two victories over M80 and Team Secret. At the Six Invitational 2025, they took 9-12th place, but had a strong Asian qualification with a victory over FEARX in the final. Their winrate for the last 5 matches is 40%.
FEARX, although they have the same winrate (40%), look a bit more combative. Victories over Black Dragons and Dire Wolves, as well as a tight match against CAG at the Six Invitational, indicate progress. At the same time, the team has lost twice to CAG in recent months, and this can be psychologically stressful.
Mappool
CAG Osaka systematically bans Clubhouse, Bank and Kafe Dostoyevsky (3 times each), and almost never plays Oregon. Theme Park and Skyscraper seem to be the most comfortable for the Japanese, as they remain open most often.
FEARX avoid playing on Border (4 bans), Chalet and Skyscraper (3 bans each). Kafe Dostoyevsky, Oregon, and Villa are more often left open, as they demonstrate the greatest stability on these maps.
Face-to-face meetings
The last head-to-head meetings were completely dictated by CAG Osaka - the team has won three consecutive series against FEARX over the past five months. In two of them, the Japanese did not give away a single card (2:0), and in one, they won with a score of 2:1. Thus, the current series of three consecutive victories is not only a psychological advantage for CAG, but also demonstrates stable preparation for a particular opponent. The total score on the cards for this period is 6:1 in favor of the Japanese.
Prediction
Taking into account statistics, form, and head-to-head advantage, CAG Osaka looks like the favorite of the series. FEARX has a chance to take one card due to their stable mapping, but CAG's experience in major tournaments and confidence in decisive games makes them the winner in this confrontation.
Prediction: CAG Osaka will win 2-1.
Match odds:
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The RE:L0:AD 2025 runs from May 10 to February 18 in Rio De Janeiro, Brasil. Teams are competing for a prize pool of $520,000. You can follow the schedule and results of the tournament through this link.
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