Astralis vs Vitality Match Prediction and Analysis - BLAST Open Spring 2025

The group stage of BLAST Open Spring 2025 gives us a bright confrontation between Astralis and Vitality, two teams with high ambitions. Over the past six months, the teams have met only once, five months ago, and then Vitality won with a 2-0 score. The format of the match is Bo3, so there is every chance to see a long and intense fight on three maps.

Current form of the teams

Astralis

Astralis shows good results, but the team sometimes lacks stability. At the PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, the team took 3rd place, defeating FaZe (2:1) but losing to MOUZ (1-2). Prior to that, Astralis had defeats in matches against Heroic (0:2) and defeated BIG (2:0). The team is looking for stability in matches against top opponents.

Date 
Team 
Score 
Opponent
February 23
Astralis 
2 - 1 
FaZe
February 22
Astralis 
1 - 2
MOUZ
February 21
Astralis 
2 - 0
The MongolZ
February 20
Astralis 
0 - 2 
Heroic
February 18
Astralis 
2 - 0
BIG

Vitality

Vitality are in great shape. The team won the ESL Pro League Season 21, defeating MOUZ in the final (3:0). They also had successful matches against The MongolZ (2:1), Liquid (2:0), and 3DMAX (2:0). Vitality confidently demonstrate themselves as one of the favorites in this tournament.

Date 
Team 
Score 
Opponent
March 16
Vitality
3 - 0
MOUZ
March 15
Vitality
2 - 1
The MongolZ
March 14
Vitality
2 - 0
Liquid
March 9
Vitality
2 - 0
MOUZ
March 8
Vitality
2 - 0
3DMAX

Map pool

Astralis

Astralis is effectively played by Inferno (59%) and Nuke (63%), showing stable performances. Good results on Ancient (56%). The team performs poorly on Anubis (0%), Mirage (29%), and Dust II (33%).

Vitality

Vitality is extremely confident on Inferno (85%), Nuke (85%), and Dust II (85%), where they have a winning streak. They also have good results on Mirage (63%) and Anubis (43%), but do not play Ancient (0%), which is banned all the time.

Map
Astralis WR
M
B
Last 5 matches (Astralis) 
Vitality WR
M
B
Last 5 matches (Vitality)
Ancient 
56%
16
5
W, W, W, L, W
0%
0
30
-
Dust II
33%
9
19
W, L, L, W, L
85%
13
1
W, W, W, W, W
Anubis 
0%
0
30
-
43%
14
11
L, W, L, W, W
Mirage 
29%
17
7
L, W, L, W, L
63%
16
5
L, W, L, W, W
Train 
67%
3
6
L, W, W
100%
3
1
W, W, W
Inferno 
59%
22
1
L, W, W, L, W 
85%
13
7
W, W, W, W, W
Nuke 
63%
16
1
W, L, W, L, W
85%
13
2
W, W, W, L,  W

Match prediction

Considering the recent results and form of the teams, Vitality are the obvious favorites in this match. They have a much more stable game and a stronger mappool, which allows them to feel comfortable on most maps. However, Astralis, having experienced players, can try to create a sensation and win one of the maps, but in general, the advantage is clearly on Vitality's side. The expected result is a 2-0 victory for Vitality.

Prediction: Vitality 2-1 Astralis

The match will be important for both teams: Astralis needs to prove its status and regain stability, and Vitality needs to confirm its championship ambitions. Therefore, this match will be key to determining further prospects in the tournament.

BLAST Open Spring 2025 will take place from March 19 to 30 in Lisbon and Copenhagen. The tournament will feature 16 teams competing for a prize pool of $400,000.

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