During the group stage of the BLAST Open Spring 2025, we can expect an intense showdown between Virtus.pro and Falcons. Both teams have shown inconsistent results and have yet to find their optimal rhythm. Virtus.pro started with a win but stumbled on their way to advancing from the group, while Falcons alternate between impressive victories and unexpected losses. In this article, we will assess the current form of the teams, consider the possible map pool, and attempt to predict the outcome of the match.
Current Team Form
Virtus.pro is performing somewhat inconsistently. Their average tournament rating over the past month is 6.0. The last major tournament, PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, was unsuccessful for VP — the team ended their participation in the group stage with a 2-3 record. However, at BLAST Open Spring 2025, the "bears" started with a win and reached the semifinals, where they lost to Vitality. Despite this, VP's play seems more composed compared to their recent past.
Falcons are also experiencing a challenging period. At ESL Pro League Season 21, they finished in 9th–11th place, losing to the Turkish team Eternal Fire. Nevertheless, during the tournament, they defeated strong teams like FURIA and Liquid, indicating the high potential of the team. The main issue remains their inconsistency — from match to match, Falcons show varying levels of play.
| Date | Team | Score | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 21 | Falcons | 2 - 0 | The Huns |
| March 19 | Falcons | 0 - 2 | MOUZ |
| March 11 | Falcons | 1 - 2 | Eternal Fire |
| March 10 | Falcons | 2 - 1 | FURIA |
| March 09 | Falcons | 1 - 2 | 3DMAX |
Map Pool
Most likely, Virtus.pro will start by banning Nuke — a map they don't play consistently. In turn, Falcons will almost certainly remove Anubis, which they have banned in 12 consecutive matches.
For their pick, Virtus.pro would logically choose Dust2, where they have a high win rate of 73%. This map remains one of the strongest in their arsenal and suits their playstyle. Falcons will probably choose Mirage — their most stable map with a 56% win rate and the ability to challenge any opponent.
Thus, Train might be left as the decider — a neutral map where Falcons feel decent (40%), and Virtus.pro have experience, albeit inconsistent.
| Map | Virtus.Pro Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Virtus.Pro) | Falcons Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Falcons) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuke | 0% | 0 | 26 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 36% | 11 | 4 | W, L, W, W, FB |
| Dust II | 73% | 11 | 5 | L, W, L, W, W | 50% | 16 | 2 | L, L, W, L, L |
| Train | 50% | 4 | 3 | W, L, W, L, L | 33% | 6 | 3 | L, W, W, L, W |
| Anubis | 33% | 9 | 5 | L, L, L, L, L | 20% | 5 | 13 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Inferno | 50% | 14 | 6 | W, FB, FB, L, L | 38% | 8 | 17 | W, FB, FB, L, L |
| Mirage | 50% | 10 | 4 | L, W, W, L, L | 56% | 9 | 5 | L, W, L, W, W |
| Ancient | 50% | 16 | 1 | W, L, W, L, W | 50% | 14 | 8 | L, W, L, W, L |
Match Prediction
Both teams approach the match in unstable form, making the encounter highly unpredictable. Virtus.pro started the tournament confidently but still make mistakes in crucial moments. Falcons, on the other hand, are capable of defeating strong teams but suffer from a lack of stability themselves.
The outcome of the match will largely depend on how well the map picks go. Additionally, the individual form of the team leaders will be a key factor — they can turn the tide of the game. Either team could win here, and much will be decided as the series progresses.
Prediction: Falcons win 2-1 against Virtus.Pro
BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 takes place from March 19 to 30. The group stage will be held at the BLAST studio in Copenhagen, and the playoffs will take place at the MEO arena in Lisbon, Portugal. For more details on the results and progress of the tournament, follow this link.
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