On May 10th, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, Virtus.pro will face off against Ninjas in Pyjamas in the PGL Astana 2025 Group Stage. This best-of-3 match promises to be a thrilling contest as both teams aim to advance in the tournament. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Watch the match here.
Current form of the teams
Virtus.pro, currently ranked 13th in the world, has had a challenging period recently, with a current win streak of zero. Their overall win rate stands at 60%, but this has dropped to 44% over the past year and 47% in the last six months. The last month has been particularly tough for them, with a win rate of 0%. Despite these struggles, Virtus.pro has earned $134,000 in the last six months, ranking 14th in earnings among their peers.
Their recent matches have been a mix of tough losses and a single victory. They were defeated by FlyQuest 2-0 and Liquid 2-1 at the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne 2025, where they finished 13-16th. Prior to that, they lost to G2 2-0 but managed a win against Astralis 2-0 at the PGL Bucharest 2025, finishing 5-8th.
Ninjas in Pyjamas, ranked 44th globally, are on a two-match winning streak. They have shown improvement with an overall win rate of 51%, which has increased to 53% over the recent year and 60% in the last six months. Impressively, their win rate in the past month is at 71%. However, their earnings in the last six months have been modest, at $1,500, placing them 126th in earnings.
Teams’ Map Pool
The predicted map veto for this match suggests Virtus.pro will first ban Nuke, while Ninjas in Pyjamas will first ban Mirage. Virtus.pro is expected to first pick Dust2, with Ninjas in Pyjamas opting for Anubis. The remaining maps are expected to be Train and Inferno, with Ancient as the decider.
Virtus.pro’s preference for Dust2 is evident, as they have a 64% win rate on this map over the last six months. In contrast, Ninjas in Pyjamas have shown a strong performance on Anubis, with a 44% win rate. The decider map, Ancient, could be pivotal, with Virtus.pro holding a 47% win rate and Ninjas in Pyjamas at 54%.
| Map | Virtus.Pro Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Virtus.Pro) | NIP Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (NIP) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuke | 0% | 0 | 29 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 67% | 21 | 4 | W, L, W, W, L |
| Inferno | 50% | 14 | 5 | L, L, W, L, W | 86% | 7 | 19 | L, W, W, W, W |
| Dust II | 64% | 14 | 5 | W, W, L, W, L | 50% | 14 | 12 | L, W, W, L, L |
| Mirage | 33% | 12 | 4 | L, W, L, W, W | 47% | 15 | 10 | L, L, L, FB, FB |
| Anubis | 33% | 9 | 6 | L, L, W, L, W | 47% | 15 | 5 | L, L, W, W, L |
| Train | 60% | 5 | 8 | W, W, L, L, L | 69% | 13 | 5 | W, L, L, W, W |
| Ancient | 47% | 15 | 2 | L, L, L, L, L | 54% | 24 | 2 | L, W, W, L, W |
Prediction
Considering the current form, map pool, and head-to-head history, Virtus.pro appears to have the upper hand in this matchup. With a predicted score of 2:0, Virtus.pro’s stronger map statistics and their historical success against Ninjas in Pyjamas suggest they are likely to secure the win. Ninjas in Pyjamas will need to bring their best performance to challenge Virtus.pro’s dominance.
Prediction: Virtus.pro 2:0 Ninjas in Pyjamas
Odds are taken from Stake and are current at the time of publication.
PGL Astana 2025 takes place from May 10th to May 18th in Kazakhstan, featuring a prize pool of $625,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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