The Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 Playoffs stage is set for an electrifying encounter between The MongolZ and Aurora on May 23, 2025, at 18:15 UTC. This best-of-3 match promises to be a thrilling contest as both teams aim to advance further in this prestigious tournament. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Follow the match here.

Current form of the teams

The MongolZ, currently ranked 6th in the world (source), have shown impressive performance lately. Over the last month, they boast a win rate of 67%, and their overall win rate for the year stands at 66%. Despite their recent loss against Vitality, they have had strong showings against top-tier teams like G2 and FURIA, both of which they defeated 2-0 in the Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 Group A playoffs.

Their earnings over the last six months amount to $294,375, placing them 6th in the earnings ranking. The MongolZ’s recent form suggests a competitive edge, although their current winstreak is at zero following their defeat by Vitality.

Aurora, ranked 7th globally, enters this match with a commendable three-match winning streak. They have recently triumphed over HEROIC, Liquid, and NRG in the Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 Group B playoffs. Aurora’s win rate for the last month mirrors The MongolZ at 67%, but their overall win rate for the past year is slightly lower at 54%. Aurora’s recent half-year earnings are $122,250, ranking them 15th among their peers. Their current form, combined with a winning streak, highlights their potential to challenge The MongolZ effectively.

Teams’ Map Pool

The anticipated map veto scenario suggests The MongolZ will first ban Train, given their high ban rate of 97% for this map. Aurora is likely to ban Ancient, aligning with their frequent first-ban strategy for this map. The MongolZ are expected to first pick Mirage, a map where they have a 64% win rate over 25 matches. Aurora might counter with Anubis, a map where they have a 56% win rate over 25 matches. Following these picks, The MongolZ will ban Nuke, and Aurora will ban Inferno, leading to Dust2 as the decider, a map where Aurora has a 78% win rate compared to The MongolZ’s 55%.

Head-to-Head

In their recent encounters, Aurora has a slight edge over The MongolZ, having won their last meeting in a decisive 2-0 at the PGL Astana 2025. Historically, both teams have shown competitive performances, with Aurora winning three of their last four meetings. The MongolZ will need to adapt their strategy to overcome Aurora’s recent dominance, particularly on maps like Mirage and Anubis, where Aurora has demonstrated strong performances.

Prediction

Based on current form and statistical analysis, The MongolZ are anticipated to win this match 2-0. Their higher win probability of 61% compared to Aurora’s 39%, coupled with their strong map pool and recent performances against top-ranked teams, positions them as the favorites. While Aurora has been formidable, The MongolZ’s strategic map veto and historical success on key maps will likely secure their victory in this playoff clash.

Prediction: The MongolZ 2:0 Aurora

The MongolZ (1.68) vs. Aurora (2.15) — May 23, 2025, 20:15 CEST.

Odds are taken from Stake and are current at the time of publication.

Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 takes place from May 19 to May 25 in the United States, featuring a prize pool of $1,000,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.