On August 17, 2025, at 14:00 UTC, Team Spirit will face off against The MongolZ in the grand final of the BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 in Malta. This best-of-5 series promises to be a thrilling conclusion to the tournament’s second stage. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Catch all the action live at this link.
Current form of the teams
Team Spirit enters this match as the world’s number 2 ranked team according to the world rankings. Their recent form is impeccable with a win streak of 9 matches. Over the last month, Spirit boasts a perfect win rate of 100%, which is a testament to their dominance. In the last six months, they have earned a substantial $750,000, placing them third in earnings among their peers. Spirit’s recent victories include triumphs over formidable opponents such as MOUZ and Virtus.pro in the ongoing BLAST Bounty Fall 2025. Their last five matches have all been victories, showcasing their consistency and strength.
The MongolZ, ranked 4th globally, are on a 4-match win streak. Their recent month’s win rate stands at 75%, reflecting a strong performance. In the past six months, they have accumulated $404,375 in earnings, ranking fifth. Their journey to the grand final included a significant win against Vitality, the top-ranked team, displaying their potential to upset higher-ranked opponents. Despite a loss to Natus Vincere in the Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2025, The MongolZ have shown resilience and adaptability in their gameplay.
Teams’ Map Pool
The upcoming match’s map veto is predicted to see Spirit banning Inferno first, while The MongolZ will likely ban Train. Spirit is expected to pick Ancient first, a map where they have a 69% win rate. The MongolZ will probably choose Mirage, where they have a 72% win rate, making it a strategic choice. Following these, Spirit might opt for Nuke, and The MongolZ could pick Anubis. The decider map is anticipated to be Dust2, a battleground both teams are comfortable on.
| Map | Spirit Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (Spirit) | The MongolZ Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (The MongolZ) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overpass | 100% | 2 | 2 | W, W | 0% | 0 | 5 | |
| Train | 83% | 6 | 13 | W, W, L, W, W | 0% | 0 | 41 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB |
| Inferno | 0% | 0 | 30 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 53% | 19 | 1 | L, L, L, L, L |
| Dust II | 83% | 18 | 0 | W, L, W, L, W | 59% | 17 | 12 | L, W, L, W, W |
| Nuke | 69% | 16 | 3 | L, W, W, L, W | 60% | 10 | 18 | W, L, W, W, W |
| Ancient | 69% | 13 | 2 | W, W, W, L, W | 61% | 18 | 0 | L, W, W, L, W |
| Mirage | 73% | 15 | 4 | L, W, W, W, W | 73% | 26 | 1 | W, W, L, W, W |
Head-to-Head
In their previous meetings, Spirit has dominated with a 75% win rate against The MongolZ. Their last encounter on March 9, 2025, ended with Spirit winning 2-0. Historically, Spirit has had the upper hand, with The MongolZ managing only one victory in their last four encounters. Spirit’s strategic map picks and bans have often given them the edge in these matchups.
Match Prediction
Given the current form and historical performance, Spirit is predicted to win the series 3:1. Their superior win rates, especially on maps like Ancient and Dust2, combined with their recent form, suggest they have the upper hand. The MongolZ, while capable of securing a map win on Mirage, are likely to struggle against Spirit’s strategic depth and consistency.
Prediction: Spirit 3:1 The MongolZ
The BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 takes place from August 14 to August 17 in Malta, featuring a prize pool of $500,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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