On June 13, 2025, at 17:30 UTC, Team Spirit will face Natus Vincere in the BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 Stage 3. This best-of-3 match promises to be a thrilling encounter as both teams battle it out in the Swiss format. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Match Link

Current form of the teams

Team Spirit, currently ranked 3rd in the world (World Rankings), is on an impressive 8-match winning streak. Their overall win rate stands at 65%, with a remarkable 81% win rate over the past six months and a perfect 100% in the recent month. Spirit has been dominant in their recent tournaments, notably winning the PGL Astana 2025, where they earned $200,000. Their earnings over the past six months total $1,273,125, placing them at the top of the earnings chart.

In their last five matches, Spirit has been unstoppable. They secured victories against Lynn Vision and paiN in the ongoing BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025. Prior to this, Spirit triumphed over Astralis in the grand final of PGL Astana 2025. They also defeated FURIA and Ninjas in Pyjamas during the playoffs of the same tournament.

Natus Vincere, ranked 8th globally, has shown mixed results recently, with a 69% overall win rate. Their performance over the recent half-year has dipped slightly to 64%, but they maintain a solid 67% win rate over the past month. Natus Vincere’s six-month earnings are $198,750, ranking them 11th in terms of earnings.

In their recent outings, Natus Vincere has managed to secure wins against 3DMAX and Nemiga in the BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025. However, they faced a setback against Astralis in the PGL Astana 2025 quarterfinals. Earlier in the group stage, they secured a win against Aurora but fell to The MongolZ.

Teams’ Map Pool

The map veto scenario for this match is expected to unfold with Spirit first banning Inferno and Natus Vincere responding by banning Dust2. Spirit is likely to pick Nuke, while Natus Vincere may choose Mirage as their map. The bans will continue with Spirit banning Ancient and Natus Vincere banning Anubis, leaving Train as the decider.

Spirit has shown a strong performance on Nuke with a 71% win rate over 21 maps in the past six months. Meanwhile, Natus Vincere has a preference for Mirage, boasting a 74% win rate over 19 maps. Train, the potential decider, has been a successful map for both teams, with Spirit holding an 86% win rate over 7 maps and Natus Vincere achieving a perfect win rate on their 3 Train maps.

Head-to-Head

In their recent head-to-head encounters, Spirit has dominated Natus Vincere, winning four out of the last five matches. Their most recent meeting on March 28, 2025, saw Spirit securing a convincing 2-0 victory over Natus Vincere. Historically, Spirit has shown better map control and adaptability against Natus Vincere, which has been a key factor in their past successes.

Prediction

Based on the current form and historical data, Spirit is likely to continue their winning streak against Natus Vincere. With a 75% win probability favoring Spirit, their recent form and superior map pool give them a significant edge. Natus Vincere will need to bring their A-game to challenge Spirit, but the odds are stacked against them in this matchup.

Prediction: Spirit 2:0 Natus Vincere

BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 takes place from June 12 to June 22 in the United States, featuring a prize pool of $1,250,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.