On September 9, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, SAW will face off against BIG in the Thunderpick World Championship 2025: Closed Qualifier Playoffs. This best-of-3 series promises to be an intriguing encounter as both teams aim to advance further in the tournament. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. You can follow the match here.
Current form of the teams
SAW is currently ranked 22nd in the world according to the Valve rankings. Despite their high ranking, SAW’s recent form has been less than stellar. Over the last month, their win rate has plummeted to 0%, and they are on a losing streak. Their overall win rate over the past year stands at 50%, with a slight dip to 43% in the last six months.
In their last five matches, SAW has suffered three consecutive losses against The Glecs, Johnny Speeds, and OG, all in the ESL Challenger League Season 50: Europe - Cup 1 and CCT Season 3 European Series 4. However, they managed to secure wins against TNL and BetBoom in the same series. Their earnings over the last six months amount to $51,500, placing them 42nd in the earnings ranking.
In contrast, BIG is ranked 45th in the world and is on a three-game winning streak. Their recent performance has been commendable, with a win rate of 56% in the last month and 52% over the past six months.
BIG’s recent victories include triumphs over AaB, ESC, and Valtrion in the Betclic Clash Summer tournaments. Their only recent loss came against HEROIC Academy. BIG has earned $99,125 in the last six months, ranking 23rd in terms of earnings.
Teams Map Pool
The predicted map veto for this match includes SAW banning Mirage first, while BIG will ban Anubis. SAW is expected to pick Nuke, a map where they have a solid win rate of 65% over the past six months. BIG is likely to pick Train, where they have a 58% win rate. Dust2 and Ancient are expected to be banned next, leaving Inferno as the decider. Historically, BIG has shown a preference for Mirage and Train, while SAW has leaned towards Nuke.
| Map | SAW Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (SAW) | BIG Winrate | M | B | Last 5 Matches (BIG) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overpass | 0% | 1 | 3 | L | 75% | 4 | 5 | W, W, W, L, W |
| Mirage | 0% | 0 | 22 | FB, FB, FB, FB, FB | 62% | 34 | 4 | W, W, W, W, L |
| Train | 27% | 11 | 3 | L, W, W, L, W | 61% | 18 | 14 | W, W, L, W, W |
| Nuke | 65% | 17 | 2 | W, W, W, W, W | 43% | 21 | 8 | L, L, W, L, W |
| Dust II | 38% | 8 | 3 | L, W, L, W, W | 48% | 21 | 9 | FB, FB, W, W, L |
| Inferno | 33% | 12 | 4 | L, W, L, L, W | 42% | 19 | 8 | L, L, W, L, L |
| Ancient | 38% | 13 | 6 | L, W, L, W, L | 46% | 28 | 11 | FB, FB, L, L, L |
Prediction
Based on current form, historical data, and map preferences, SAW is slightly favored to win this match with a predicted score of 2:1. SAW’s strengths on maps like Nuke and their overall higher ranking lend them an edge. However, BIG’s recent form and head-to-head advantage make them a formidable opponent. The match is expected to be closely contested, but SAW is likely to come out on top.
Prediction: SAW 2:1 BIG
Thunderpick World Championship 2025: Closed Qualifier takes place from September 9 to September 11 online, featuring a competitive lineup of teams. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the link.
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